**Trader consensus heavily favors a 28°C low for Taipei on August 27, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and international models showing overnight minima holding near or above this threshold amid persistent warm, humid conditions.** Daytime highs are projected at 33–36°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, while evening and overnight temperatures are expected to stabilize around 28–32°C due to high humidity (often 70–85%) and limited radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows typically range 25–26°C but recent patterns and model runs have trended warmer. The market-implied 92.5% probability on 28°C incorporates real-time trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include stronger-than-forecast radiative cooling under clearer skies, shifts in wind patterns introducing cooler air masses, or localized measurement variations at official stations. Updated model guidance or Central Weather Bureau briefings could still influence final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 27?
28°C 98%
25°C 18%
27°C 3%
26°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
18%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
93%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 98%
25°C 18%
27°C 3%
26°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$168 Vol.
1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
1%
24°C
$199 Vol.
2%
25°C
$16 Vol.
18%
26°C
$92 Vol.
2%
27°C
$109 Vol.
3%
28°C
$403 Vol.
93%
29°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$143 Vol.
1%
31°C
$100 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$127 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 28°C low for Taipei on August 27, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and international models showing overnight minima holding near or above this threshold amid persistent warm, humid conditions.**
Daytime highs are projected at 33–36°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, while evening and overnight temperatures are expected to stabilize around 28–32°C due to high humidity (often 70–85%) and limited radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows typically range 25–26°C but recent patterns and model runs have trended warmer. The market-implied 92.5% probability on 28°C incorporates real-time trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions.
Realistic challenges include stronger-than-forecast radiative cooling under clearer skies, shifts in wind patterns introducing cooler air masses, or localized measurement variations at official stations. Updated model guidance or Central Weather Bureau briefings could still influence final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,697End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 28°C low for Taipei on August 27, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and international models showing overnight minima holding near or above this threshold amid persistent warm, humid conditions.**
Daytime highs are projected at 33–36°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, while evening and overnight temperatures are expected to stabilize around 28–32°C due to high humidity (often 70–85%) and limited radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows typically range 25–26°C but recent patterns and model runs have trended warmer. The market-implied 92.5% probability on 28°C incorporates real-time trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions.
Realistic challenges include stronger-than-forecast radiative cooling under clearer skies, shifts in wind patterns introducing cooler air masses, or localized measurement variations at official stations. Updated model guidance or Central Weather Bureau briefings could still influence final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,697End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 28°C low for Taipei on August 27, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau and international models showing overnight minima holding near or above this threshold amid persistent warm, humid conditions.** Daytime highs are projected at 33–36°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, while evening and overnight temperatures are expected to stabilize around 28–32°C due to high humidity (often 70–85%) and limited radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows typically range 25–26°C but recent patterns and model runs have trended warmer. The market-implied 92.5% probability on 28°C incorporates real-time trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include stronger-than-forecast radiative cooling under clearer skies, shifts in wind patterns introducing cooler air masses, or localized measurement variations at official stations. Updated model guidance or Central Weather Bureau briefings could still influence final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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