Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a Qingdao minimum near 21°C on August 30, shaped by strengthening northerly winds that advect cooler air and increased cloud cover reducing daytime heating while moderating nocturnal radiative losses. Historical August lows average 22°C, and current conditions show a seasonal cooling trend without major synoptic systems like typhoons altering the pattern. Model consensus supports 20–23°C outcomes with modest spread due to boundary-layer moisture and wind variability, yet trader positioning favors cooler thresholds, reflecting caution over forecast uncertainty and potential for localized cooling under clearer skies. Updated runs from NOAA and China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
19°C or below 94%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
94%
20°C
49%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C or higher
46%
19°C or below 94%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
94%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a Qingdao minimum near 21°C on August 30, shaped by strengthening northerly winds that advect cooler air and increased cloud cover reducing daytime heating while moderating nocturnal radiative losses. Historical August lows average 22°C, and current conditions show a seasonal cooling trend without major synoptic systems like typhoons altering the pattern. Model consensus supports 20–23°C outcomes with modest spread due to boundary-layer moisture and wind variability, yet trader positioning favors cooler thresholds, reflecting caution over forecast uncertainty and potential for localized cooling under clearer skies. Updated runs from NOAA and China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a Qingdao minimum near 21°C on August 30, shaped by strengthening northerly winds that advect cooler air and increased cloud cover reducing daytime heating while moderating nocturnal radiative losses. Historical August lows average 22°C, and current conditions show a seasonal cooling trend without major synoptic systems like typhoons altering the pattern. Model consensus supports 20–23°C outcomes with modest spread due to boundary-layer moisture and wind variability, yet trader positioning favors cooler thresholds, reflecting caution over forecast uncertainty and potential for localized cooling under clearer skies. Updated runs from NOAA and China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a Qingdao minimum near 21°C on August 30, shaped by strengthening northerly winds that advect cooler air and increased cloud cover reducing daytime heating while moderating nocturnal radiative losses. Historical August lows average 22°C, and current conditions show a seasonal cooling trend without major synoptic systems like typhoons altering the pattern. Model consensus supports 20–23°C outcomes with modest spread due to boundary-layer moisture and wind variability, yet trader positioning favors cooler thresholds, reflecting caution over forecast uncertainty and potential for localized cooling under clearer skies. Updated runs from NOAA and China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions