Recent forecasts for Warsaw on August 28 indicate a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and southeasterly flow of warmer air, with most models converging on a daily maximum near 26°C. Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and Polish IMGW-aligned outlooks project 26–27°C under mostly sunny conditions and light to moderate winds, while climatological averages for late August sit around 21–22°C. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 25–27°C, as ensemble runs show limited spread absent significant model disagreement or frontal intrusion. The leading 26°C outcome reflects consensus on peak solar heating without afternoon cloud buildup or precipitation. Resolution will hinge on official station readings, with updates from national meteorological services expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
26°C 42%
25°C 32%
27°C 17%
24°C 10%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
32%
26°C
42%
27°C
17%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 32%
27°C 17%
24°C 10%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
32%
26°C
42%
27°C
17%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Warsaw on August 28 indicate a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and southeasterly flow of warmer air, with most models converging on a daily maximum near 26°C. Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and Polish IMGW-aligned outlooks project 26–27°C under mostly sunny conditions and light to moderate winds, while climatological averages for late August sit around 21–22°C. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 25–27°C, as ensemble runs show limited spread absent significant model disagreement or frontal intrusion. The leading 26°C outcome reflects consensus on peak solar heating without afternoon cloud buildup or precipitation. Resolution will hinge on official station readings, with updates from national meteorological services expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions