Persistent high-pressure influence and clear skies are positioning Warsaw's maximum temperature near 25°C on August 27, with official forecasts from multiple models converging on a daytime high of 24–25°C under light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Late-summer climatology supports this range, as Warsaw's August averages hover near 21–25°C, while current observations show similar peaks the prior day amid stable atmospheric conditions. Model consensus and lack of incoming fronts limit upside potential above 26°C, keeping lower outcomes like 23°C or below as low-probability outliers. Updated runs and real-time station data will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 27?
25°C 51%
24°C 38%
26°C 7%
23°C 6%
$11,691 Vol.
$11,691 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
38%
25°C
51%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
24°C 38%
26°C 7%
23°C 6%
$11,691 Vol.
$11,691 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
38%
25°C
51%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure influence and clear skies are positioning Warsaw's maximum temperature near 25°C on August 27, with official forecasts from multiple models converging on a daytime high of 24–25°C under light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Late-summer climatology supports this range, as Warsaw's August averages hover near 21–25°C, while current observations show similar peaks the prior day amid stable atmospheric conditions. Model consensus and lack of incoming fronts limit upside potential above 26°C, keeping lower outcomes like 23°C or below as low-probability outliers. Updated runs and real-time station data will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions