The market's 100% consensus on 23°C as Warsaw's highest temperature for August 26 reflects official meteorological observations confirming that exact maximum at local stations, consistent with post-event verification from national weather services. With the date now past, real-time surface measurements and quality-controlled data eliminate forecast uncertainty, producing near-certain trader alignment. Historical August averages for the region hover near 24–26°C, so this value sits within normal variability driven by typical late-summer atmospheric patterns. The only realistic challenges would involve rare post-processing revisions to station data or disputes over measurement protocols, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary reports are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$26,654 Vol.
$26,654 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$26,654 Vol.
$26,654 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
$200 Vol.
No
18°C
$343 Vol.
No
19°C
$308 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,144 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,816 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,068 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,556 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$6,464 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,881 Vol.
No
26°C
$636 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$238 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% consensus on 23°C as Warsaw's highest temperature for August 26 reflects official meteorological observations confirming that exact maximum at local stations, consistent with post-event verification from national weather services. With the date now past, real-time surface measurements and quality-controlled data eliminate forecast uncertainty, producing near-certain trader alignment. Historical August averages for the region hover near 24–26°C, so this value sits within normal variability driven by typical late-summer atmospheric patterns. The only realistic challenges would involve rare post-processing revisions to station data or disputes over measurement protocols, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$26,654End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% consensus on 23°C as Warsaw's highest temperature for August 26 reflects official meteorological observations confirming that exact maximum at local stations, consistent with post-event verification from national weather services. With the date now past, real-time surface measurements and quality-controlled data eliminate forecast uncertainty, producing near-certain trader alignment. Historical August averages for the region hover near 24–26°C, so this value sits within normal variability driven by typical late-summer atmospheric patterns. The only realistic challenges would involve rare post-processing revisions to station data or disputes over measurement protocols, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,654End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's 100% consensus on 23°C as Warsaw's highest temperature for August 26 reflects official meteorological observations confirming that exact maximum at local stations, consistent with post-event verification from national weather services. With the date now past, real-time surface measurements and quality-controlled data eliminate forecast uncertainty, producing near-certain trader alignment. Historical August averages for the region hover near 24–26°C, so this value sits within normal variability driven by typical late-summer atmospheric patterns. The only realistic challenges would involve rare post-processing revisions to station data or disputes over measurement protocols, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary reports are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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