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icon for JD Vance out as VP by...?
Politics·Trump Cabinet

JD Vance out as VP by...?

icon for JD Vance out as VP by...?
Politics·Trump Cabinet

JD Vance out as VP by...?

$241,271 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$241,271 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$149,963 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vice President JD Vance remains firmly positioned in the Trump administration amid ongoing policy and diplomatic roles, including fraud oversight and Iran-related talks. Recent developments reinforcing stability include his July 2026 birth of a fourth child—the first for a sitting vice president in over 150 years—and Trump's reported shift toward viewing Vance favorably as a 2028 successor over rivals like Marco Rubio, following Vance's media visibility and weight-loss efforts. Internal GOP criticism has surfaced but lacks institutional force. The November 2026 midterms represent a key upcoming event that could shape succession dynamics, while no verified signals point to resignation, removal, or term-limit issues before standard resolution windows. Trader consensus reflects these continuity factors rather than disruption risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$241,271
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vice President JD Vance remains firmly positioned in the Trump administration amid ongoing policy and diplomatic roles, including fraud oversight and Iran-related talks. Recent developments reinforcing stability include his July 2026 birth of a fourth child—the first for a sitting vice president in over 150 years—and Trump's reported shift toward viewing Vance favorably as a 2028 successor over rivals like Marco Rubio, following Vance's media visibility and weight-loss efforts. Internal GOP criticism has surfaced but lacks institutional force. The November 2026 midterms represent a key upcoming event that could shape succession dynamics, while no verified signals point to resignation, removal, or term-limit issues before standard resolution windows. Trader consensus reflects these continuity factors rather than disruption risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$241,271
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"JD Vance out as VP by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 6%, followed by "June 15" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "JD Vance out as VP by...?" has generated $241.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "JD Vance out as VP by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "JD Vance out as VP by...?" is "December 31" at just 6%, with "June 15" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "JD Vance out as VP by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.