**John Ratcliffe remains CIA Director with strong continuity into late 2026.** Confirmed by the Senate 74-25 in January 2025 as the first person to hold both the CIA and prior DNI roles, he has served continuously without reported removal pressures or performance issues. Recent developments reinforce stability. In June 2026, leadership shifts at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence elevated his influence within the intelligence community, with reporting describing him as the dominant figure and “adult in the room.” His unannounced August 2026 trip to Moscow for talks with Russian counterparts on the Ukraine war, NATO security, and related matters further signals active presidential trust in a sensitive diplomatic role. CIA directors serve at the president’s discretion with no fixed term, but the combination of early bipartisan confirmation support, alignment on priorities such as China and technology modernization, and absence of controversies supports the market’s 83.5% implied probability that he will not depart by year-end. Scheduled events or sudden policy shifts could alter this, though none appear imminent.