Recent polling has placed President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s amid sustained economic headwinds and foreign policy pressures tied to the Iran conflict, including elevated prices and public pessimism over prolonged involvement. August surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Verasight, and others recorded figures between 33% and 37% approve, with net ratings near -20 to -26 and all major issues now underwater. These trends anchor trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 4 reading, while the smaller probabilities assigned to sub-37 and 39+ outcomes reflect expectations of stability absent immediate catalysts such as new economic data releases or diplomatic shifts before the measurement date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 38%
39.0+ 28%
37.5–37.9 27%
37.0–37.4 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
11%
37.0–37.4
26%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
38%
38.5–38.9
25%
39.0+
28%
38.0–38.4 38%
39.0+ 28%
37.5–37.9 27%
37.0–37.4 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
$20 Vol.
11%
37.0–37.4
$0 Vol.
26%
37.5–37.9
$0 Vol.
27%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
38%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
25%
39.0+
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling has placed President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s amid sustained economic headwinds and foreign policy pressures tied to the Iran conflict, including elevated prices and public pessimism over prolonged involvement. August surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Verasight, and others recorded figures between 33% and 37% approve, with net ratings near -20 to -26 and all major issues now underwater. These trends anchor trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 4 reading, while the smaller probabilities assigned to sub-37 and 39+ outcomes reflect expectations of stability absent immediate catalysts such as new economic data releases or diplomatic shifts before the measurement date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling has placed President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s amid sustained economic headwinds and foreign policy pressures tied to the Iran conflict, including elevated prices and public pessimism over prolonged involvement. August surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Verasight, and others recorded figures between 33% and 37% approve, with net ratings near -20 to -26 and all major issues now underwater. These trends anchor trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 4 reading, while the smaller probabilities assigned to sub-37 and 39+ outcomes reflect expectations of stability absent immediate catalysts such as new economic data releases or diplomatic shifts before the measurement date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling has placed President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s amid sustained economic headwinds and foreign policy pressures tied to the Iran conflict, including elevated prices and public pessimism over prolonged involvement. August surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Verasight, and others recorded figures between 33% and 37% approve, with net ratings near -20 to -26 and all major issues now underwater. These trends anchor trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 4 reading, while the smaller probabilities assigned to sub-37 and 39+ outcomes reflect expectations of stability absent immediate catalysts such as new economic data releases or diplomatic shifts before the measurement date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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