Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-30s to low-40s, with aggregates near 37-39% amid persistent economic discontent and the ongoing Iran conflict. Declines in consumer confidence, record-low net ratings on prices and foreign policy, and the first net-negative readings on border security have anchored sentiment near these levels. Pollster variation, including higher Rasmussen figures versus lower results from Reuters/Ipsos and others, contributes to the tight distribution of probabilities around 38%. No major new catalysts have emerged in the immediate 48 hours to shift the near-term outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 44%
38.5–38.9 32%
37.5–37.9 13%
37.0–37.4 7.6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<37.0
1%
37.0–37.4
8%
37.5–37.9
13%
38.0–38.4
44%
38.5–38.9
32%
39.0+
<1%
38.0–38.4 44%
38.5–38.9 32%
37.5–37.9 13%
37.0–37.4 7.6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<37.0
$200 Vol.
1%
37.0–37.4
$163 Vol.
8%
37.5–37.9
$1,443 Vol.
13%
38.0–38.4
$982 Vol.
44%
38.5–38.9
$1,480 Vol.
32%
39.0+
$313 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-30s to low-40s, with aggregates near 37-39% amid persistent economic discontent and the ongoing Iran conflict. Declines in consumer confidence, record-low net ratings on prices and foreign policy, and the first net-negative readings on border security have anchored sentiment near these levels. Pollster variation, including higher Rasmussen figures versus lower results from Reuters/Ipsos and others, contributes to the tight distribution of probabilities around 38%. No major new catalysts have emerged in the immediate 48 hours to shift the near-term outlook.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$4,581End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-30s to low-40s, with aggregates near 37-39% amid persistent economic discontent and the ongoing Iran conflict. Declines in consumer confidence, record-low net ratings on prices and foreign policy, and the first net-negative readings on border security have anchored sentiment near these levels. Pollster variation, including higher Rasmussen figures versus lower results from Reuters/Ipsos and others, contributes to the tight distribution of probabilities around 38%. No major new catalysts have emerged in the immediate 48 hours to shift the near-term outlook.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$4,581End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-30s to low-40s, with aggregates near 37-39% amid persistent economic discontent and the ongoing Iran conflict. Declines in consumer confidence, record-low net ratings on prices and foreign policy, and the first net-negative readings on border security have anchored sentiment near these levels. Pollster variation, including higher Rasmussen figures versus lower results from Reuters/Ipsos and others, contributes to the tight distribution of probabilities around 38%. No major new catalysts have emerged in the immediate 48 hours to shift the near-term outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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