**Republican control of both the U.S. Senate seat and governor’s office leads trader consensus at 64.5 percent, reflecting Kansas’s partisan leanings and recent primary outcomes.** Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall holds a consistent polling edge of roughly 4–5 points over Democrat Adam Hamilton in a state that favored the Republican presidential ticket by double digits in 2024, with forecasts rating the race Likely Republican. The open governorship, vacated by term-limited Democrat Laura Kelly, features Republican nominee Ty Masterson against Democrat Cindy Holscher; nonpartisan ratings place the contest in the Lean or Tilt Republican range following Masterson’s primary win. The 24 percent price on Democrats taking the governorship while Republicans retain the Senate aligns with the closer gubernatorial dynamics and the structural barriers for Democratic gains in statewide races. Markets assign low probability to a Democratic Senate upset or full sweep, consistent with the state’s electoral fundamentals and limited movement in recent surveys.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedReps sweep 65%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 25%
Dems sweep 12%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Reps sweep
65%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
25%
Dems sweep
12%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
1%
Reps sweep 65%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 25%
Dems sweep 12%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Reps sweep
$590 Vol.
65%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$90 Vol.
25%
Dems sweep
$14 Vol.
12%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$47 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
**Republican control of both the U.S. Senate seat and governor’s office leads trader consensus at 64.5 percent, reflecting Kansas’s partisan leanings and recent primary outcomes.** Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall holds a consistent polling edge of roughly 4–5 points over Democrat Adam Hamilton in a state that favored the Republican presidential ticket by double digits in 2024, with forecasts rating the race Likely Republican. The open governorship, vacated by term-limited Democrat Laura Kelly, features Republican nominee Ty Masterson against Democrat Cindy Holscher; nonpartisan ratings place the contest in the Lean or Tilt Republican range following Masterson’s primary win. The 24 percent price on Democrats taking the governorship while Republicans retain the Senate aligns with the closer gubernatorial dynamics and the structural barriers for Democratic gains in statewide races. Markets assign low probability to a Democratic Senate upset or full sweep, consistent with the state’s electoral fundamentals and limited movement in recent surveys.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Volume
$740End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
**Republican control of both the U.S. Senate seat and governor’s office leads trader consensus at 64.5 percent, reflecting Kansas’s partisan leanings and recent primary outcomes.** Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall holds a consistent polling edge of roughly 4–5 points over Democrat Adam Hamilton in a state that favored the Republican presidential ticket by double digits in 2024, with forecasts rating the race Likely Republican. The open governorship, vacated by term-limited Democrat Laura Kelly, features Republican nominee Ty Masterson against Democrat Cindy Holscher; nonpartisan ratings place the contest in the Lean or Tilt Republican range following Masterson’s primary win. The 24 percent price on Democrats taking the governorship while Republicans retain the Senate aligns with the closer gubernatorial dynamics and the structural barriers for Democratic gains in statewide races. Markets assign low probability to a Democratic Senate upset or full sweep, consistent with the state’s electoral fundamentals and limited movement in recent surveys.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$740End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Republican control of both the U.S. Senate seat and governor’s office leads trader consensus at 64.5 percent, reflecting Kansas’s partisan leanings and recent primary outcomes.** Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall holds a consistent polling edge of roughly 4–5 points over Democrat Adam Hamilton in a state that favored the Republican presidential ticket by double digits in 2024, with forecasts rating the race Likely Republican. The open governorship, vacated by term-limited Democrat Laura Kelly, features Republican nominee Ty Masterson against Democrat Cindy Holscher; nonpartisan ratings place the contest in the Lean or Tilt Republican range following Masterson’s primary win. The 24 percent price on Democrats taking the governorship while Republicans retain the Senate aligns with the closer gubernatorial dynamics and the structural barriers for Democratic gains in statewide races. Markets assign low probability to a Democratic Senate upset or full sweep, consistent with the state’s electoral fundamentals and limited movement in recent surveys.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions