Both Ohio races remain toss-ups heading into November, with recent polling aggregates showing Democrat Sherrod Brown narrowly ahead of Republican Jon Husted in the Senate special election (averages near Brown +3) and a virtual tie between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy for governor. The high probability assigned to split outcomes reflects the closely contested nature of each contest, where independent voters and younger demographics have trended toward Democrats while older voters and the state's overall Republican lean favor the GOP nominees. Midterm dynamics, including President Trump's approval ratings and economic concerns, continue to shape voter sentiment without a decisive shift in either direction as of late August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDems sweep 39%
Reps sweep 27%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 16%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 13%
Dems sweep
39%
Reps sweep
27%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
16%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
13%
Dems sweep 39%
Reps sweep 27%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 16%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 13%
Dems sweep
39%
Reps sweep
27%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
16%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
13%
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Both Ohio races remain toss-ups heading into November, with recent polling aggregates showing Democrat Sherrod Brown narrowly ahead of Republican Jon Husted in the Senate special election (averages near Brown +3) and a virtual tie between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy for governor. The high probability assigned to split outcomes reflects the closely contested nature of each contest, where independent voters and younger demographics have trended toward Democrats while older voters and the state's overall Republican lean favor the GOP nominees. Midterm dynamics, including President Trump's approval ratings and economic concerns, continue to shape voter sentiment without a decisive shift in either direction as of late August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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