KB Home's upcoming Q3 2026 earnings, due September 22, face a 64% market-implied probability of missing consensus EPS estimates near $0.88–$0.90, driven primarily by the company's Q2 results that showed a 5–6% EPS miss alongside a 23% year-over-year drop in deliveries and a 27% revenue decline to $1.11 billion. Persistent affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates, softer spring demand, and cautious buyer sentiment prompted narrowed full-year guidance for deliveries of 10,500–11,000 homes and revenues of $4.9–$5.3 billion, both below prior-year levels. While the shift toward built-to-order homes (now 73% of net orders) and sequential margin improvement to 16.0–16.6% offer potential offsets, traders appear to price these factors as insufficient to overcome the volume contraction and macro headwinds ahead of the release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated23% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
23% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
As of market creation, KB Home is estimated to release earnings on September 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for KB Home's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.90 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if KB Home reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.90 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If KB Home releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
KB Home's upcoming Q3 2026 earnings, due September 22, face a 64% market-implied probability of missing consensus EPS estimates near $0.88–$0.90, driven primarily by the company's Q2 results that showed a 5–6% EPS miss alongside a 23% year-over-year drop in deliveries and a 27% revenue decline to $1.11 billion. Persistent affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates, softer spring demand, and cautious buyer sentiment prompted narrowed full-year guidance for deliveries of 10,500–11,000 homes and revenues of $4.9–$5.3 billion, both below prior-year levels. While the shift toward built-to-order homes (now 73% of net orders) and sequential margin improvement to 16.0–16.6% offer potential offsets, traders appear to price these factors as insufficient to overcome the volume contraction and macro headwinds ahead of the release.
As of market creation, KB Home is estimated to release earnings on September 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for KB Home's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.90 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if KB Home reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.90 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If KB Home releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If KB Home releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$387End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/KBH/earningsResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, KB Home is estimated to release earnings on September 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for KB Home's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.90 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if KB Home reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.90 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If KB Home releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
KB Home's upcoming Q3 2026 earnings, due September 22, face a 64% market-implied probability of missing consensus EPS estimates near $0.88–$0.90, driven primarily by the company's Q2 results that showed a 5–6% EPS miss alongside a 23% year-over-year drop in deliveries and a 27% revenue decline to $1.11 billion. Persistent affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates, softer spring demand, and cautious buyer sentiment prompted narrowed full-year guidance for deliveries of 10,500–11,000 homes and revenues of $4.9–$5.3 billion, both below prior-year levels. While the shift toward built-to-order homes (now 73% of net orders) and sequential margin improvement to 16.0–16.6% offer potential offsets, traders appear to price these factors as insufficient to overcome the volume contraction and macro headwinds ahead of the release.
As of market creation, KB Home is estimated to release earnings on September 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for KB Home's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.90 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if KB Home reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.90 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If KB Home releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If KB Home releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$387End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/KBH/earningsResolver
0x65070BE91...KB Home's upcoming Q3 2026 earnings, due September 22, face a 64% market-implied probability of missing consensus EPS estimates near $0.88–$0.90, driven primarily by the company's Q2 results that showed a 5–6% EPS miss alongside a 23% year-over-year drop in deliveries and a 27% revenue decline to $1.11 billion. Persistent affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates, softer spring demand, and cautious buyer sentiment prompted narrowed full-year guidance for deliveries of 10,500–11,000 homes and revenues of $4.9–$5.3 billion, both below prior-year levels. While the shift toward built-to-order homes (now 73% of net orders) and sequential margin improvement to 16.0–16.6% offer potential offsets, traders appear to price these factors as insufficient to overcome the volume contraction and macro headwinds ahead of the release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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