Meta’s market cap sits near $1.47 trillion as of late August 2026, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the $1.25–1.50T and $1.50–1.75T ranges. Strong Q2 advertising revenue growth of 28 percent, driven by AI-powered creative tools and Reels engagement, supports the upper end of that band, yet sharply higher capital expenditure of $130–145 billion for data centers and large language model development has compressed free cash flow and raised concerns about near-term profitability. Recent announcements of upcoming consumer AI agents and the Muse family of models add competitive positioning against other labs, while lingering regulatory scrutiny over platform safety introduces modest downside risk. With resolution imminent, sentiment reflects the balance between proven ad monetization and the uncertain payoff from heavy AI infrastructure spending.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.25-$1.50T 48%
$1.50-$1.75T 30.3%
$1.00-$1.25T 1.3%
$2.00-$2.25T <1%
$10,066 Vol.
$10,066 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<$1.00T
<1%
$1.00-$1.25T
1%
$1.25-$1.50T
48%
$1.50-$1.75T
39%
$1.75-$2.00T
<1%
$2.00-$2.25T
1%
$2.25T+
<1%
$1.25-$1.50T 48%
$1.50-$1.75T 30.3%
$1.00-$1.25T 1.3%
$2.00-$2.25T <1%
$10,066 Vol.
$10,066 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$384 Vol.
<1%
$1.00-$1.25T
$590 Vol.
1%
$1.25-$1.50T
$7,342 Vol.
48%
$1.50-$1.75T
$768 Vol.
39%
$1.75-$2.00T
$305 Vol.
<1%
$2.00-$2.25T
$381 Vol.
1%
$2.25T+
$295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s market cap sits near $1.47 trillion as of late August 2026, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the $1.25–1.50T and $1.50–1.75T ranges. Strong Q2 advertising revenue growth of 28 percent, driven by AI-powered creative tools and Reels engagement, supports the upper end of that band, yet sharply higher capital expenditure of $130–145 billion for data centers and large language model development has compressed free cash flow and raised concerns about near-term profitability. Recent announcements of upcoming consumer AI agents and the Muse family of models add competitive positioning against other labs, while lingering regulatory scrutiny over platform safety introduces modest downside risk. With resolution imminent, sentiment reflects the balance between proven ad monetization and the uncertain payoff from heavy AI infrastructure spending.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Volume
$10,066End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s market cap sits near $1.47 trillion as of late August 2026, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the $1.25–1.50T and $1.50–1.75T ranges. Strong Q2 advertising revenue growth of 28 percent, driven by AI-powered creative tools and Reels engagement, supports the upper end of that band, yet sharply higher capital expenditure of $130–145 billion for data centers and large language model development has compressed free cash flow and raised concerns about near-term profitability. Recent announcements of upcoming consumer AI agents and the Muse family of models add competitive positioning against other labs, while lingering regulatory scrutiny over platform safety introduces modest downside risk. With resolution imminent, sentiment reflects the balance between proven ad monetization and the uncertain payoff from heavy AI infrastructure spending.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$10,066End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meta’s market cap sits near $1.47 trillion as of late August 2026, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the $1.25–1.50T and $1.50–1.75T ranges. Strong Q2 advertising revenue growth of 28 percent, driven by AI-powered creative tools and Reels engagement, supports the upper end of that band, yet sharply higher capital expenditure of $130–145 billion for data centers and large language model development has compressed free cash flow and raised concerns about near-term profitability. Recent announcements of upcoming consumer AI agents and the Muse family of models add competitive positioning against other labs, while lingering regulatory scrutiny over platform safety introduces modest downside risk. With resolution imminent, sentiment reflects the balance between proven ad monetization and the uncertain payoff from heavy AI infrastructure spending.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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