Narendra Modi's position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the National Democratic Alliance's parliamentary majority secured in the 2024 general election and his third term extending until 2029. No scheduled elections, successful no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures have emerged to threaten his tenure in the near term. Official statements and legislative activity continue to reflect stable government operations without indications of imminent leadership change. Traders assign a 93% implied probability to him remaining in office by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of credible early-exit mechanisms under India's parliamentary system and the lack of recent developments that would typically prompt resignation or removal.