The 2026 Nevada Secretary of State race remains tightly contested between incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar and Republican Jim Marchant, a rematch of their narrow 2022 contest. Traders see limited separation due to Nevada’s competitive political environment, where the office oversees elections, voter rolls, and business filings. Aguilar emphasizes safeguards for mail ballots and election infrastructure, while Marchant advocates stricter verification measures and has raised concerns about existing systems. Recent federal subpoenas and voter-roll inquiries have kept election administration in focus without shifting consensus. With the November 3 general election approaching, factors such as turnout patterns in Clark and Washoe counties, candidate debates, or additional state-level policy announcements could alter implied probabilities in either direction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNevada Secretary of State Election Winner
Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Cisco Aguilar (D)
47%
Jim Marchant (R)
47%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Cisco Aguilar (D)
$0 Vol.
47%
Jim Marchant (R)
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.The 2026 Nevada Secretary of State race remains tightly contested between incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar and Republican Jim Marchant, a rematch of their narrow 2022 contest. Traders see limited separation due to Nevada’s competitive political environment, where the office oversees elections, voter rolls, and business filings. Aguilar emphasizes safeguards for mail ballots and election infrastructure, while Marchant advocates stricter verification measures and has raised concerns about existing systems. Recent federal subpoenas and voter-roll inquiries have kept election administration in focus without shifting consensus. With the November 3 general election approaching, factors such as turnout patterns in Clark and Washoe counties, candidate debates, or additional state-level policy announcements could alter implied probabilities in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.The 2026 Nevada Secretary of State race remains tightly contested between incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar and Republican Jim Marchant, a rematch of their narrow 2022 contest. Traders see limited separation due to Nevada’s competitive political environment, where the office oversees elections, voter rolls, and business filings. Aguilar emphasizes safeguards for mail ballots and election infrastructure, while Marchant advocates stricter verification measures and has raised concerns about existing systems. Recent federal subpoenas and voter-roll inquiries have kept election administration in focus without shifting consensus. With the November 3 general election approaching, factors such as turnout patterns in Clark and Washoe counties, candidate debates, or additional state-level policy announcements could alter implied probabilities in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Nevada Secretary of State race remains tightly contested between incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar and Republican Jim Marchant, a rematch of their narrow 2022 contest. Traders see limited separation due to Nevada’s competitive political environment, where the office oversees elections, voter rolls, and business filings. Aguilar emphasizes safeguards for mail ballots and election infrastructure, while Marchant advocates stricter verification measures and has raised concerns about existing systems. Recent federal subpoenas and voter-roll inquiries have kept election administration in focus without shifting consensus. With the November 3 general election approaching, factors such as turnout patterns in Clark and Washoe counties, candidate debates, or additional state-level policy announcements could alter implied probabilities in either direction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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