Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a strong position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a swing seat covering suburban Las Vegas areas that last elected a Republican in 2014. Lee secured the Democratic nomination in the June 9 primary and enters the November 3 general election after winning by roughly three points in both 2022 and 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters, including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, rate the race Lean Democratic. Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, who won his June primary, faces the challenges of targeting spending in a shared expensive media market and overcoming the district’s modest Democratic tilt in voter registration and recent results. These structural and historical factors underpin trader consensus on the current probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNV-03 House Election Winner
NV-03 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
11%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,121 Vol.
90%
Republican Party
$1,161 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a strong position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a swing seat covering suburban Las Vegas areas that last elected a Republican in 2014. Lee secured the Democratic nomination in the June 9 primary and enters the November 3 general election after winning by roughly three points in both 2022 and 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters, including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, rate the race Lean Democratic. Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, who won his June primary, faces the challenges of targeting spending in a shared expensive media market and overcoming the district’s modest Democratic tilt in voter registration and recent results. These structural and historical factors underpin trader consensus on the current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$4,282End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a strong position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a swing seat covering suburban Las Vegas areas that last elected a Republican in 2014. Lee secured the Democratic nomination in the June 9 primary and enters the November 3 general election after winning by roughly three points in both 2022 and 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters, including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, rate the race Lean Democratic. Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, who won his June primary, faces the challenges of targeting spending in a shared expensive media market and overcoming the district’s modest Democratic tilt in voter registration and recent results. These structural and historical factors underpin trader consensus on the current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,282End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a strong position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a swing seat covering suburban Las Vegas areas that last elected a Republican in 2014. Lee secured the Democratic nomination in the June 9 primary and enters the November 3 general election after winning by roughly three points in both 2022 and 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters, including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, rate the race Lean Democratic. Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, who won his June primary, faces the challenges of targeting spending in a shared expensive media market and overcoming the district’s modest Democratic tilt in voter registration and recent results. These structural and historical factors underpin trader consensus on the current probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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