Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters and a D+22 partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, serving since 1997, advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 50% of the vote against Republican Doug Basler, as multiple left-leaning challengers split opposition support. This structural advantage and incumbency record underpin the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or significant national partisan shift could realistically alter the outcome in the remaining period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-09 House Election Winner
WA-09 House Election Winner
$50,877 Vol.
$50,877 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$50,877 Vol.
$50,877 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,595 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$39,282 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters and a D+22 partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, serving since 1997, advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 50% of the vote against Republican Doug Basler, as multiple left-leaning challengers split opposition support. This structural advantage and incumbency record underpin the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or significant national partisan shift could realistically alter the outcome in the remaining period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$50,877End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters and a D+22 partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, serving since 1997, advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 50% of the vote against Republican Doug Basler, as multiple left-leaning challengers split opposition support. This structural advantage and incumbency record underpin the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or significant national partisan shift could realistically alter the outcome in the remaining period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$50,877End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters and a D+22 partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, serving since 1997, advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 50% of the vote against Republican Doug Basler, as multiple left-leaning challengers split opposition support. This structural advantage and incumbency record underpin the market's 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or significant national partisan shift could realistically alter the outcome in the remaining period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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