Skip to main content
icon for Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

icon for Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

$17,583 Vol.

Polymarket

$17,583 Vol.

Polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz

$150 Vol.

81%

Flavio Cobolli

$1,113 Vol.

89%

Arthur Fils

$990 Vol.

75%

Ben Shelton

$1,924 Vol.

80%

Rafael Jodar

$1,814 Vol.

55%

Taylor Fritz

$715 Vol.

52%

Matteo Arnaldi

$0 Vol.

50%

Alexander Blockx

$0 Vol.

50%

Quentin Halys

$0 Vol.

50%

Valentin Vacherot

$0 Vol.

50%

Zizou Bergs

$0 Vol.

50%

Raphael Collignon

$0 Vol.

50%

Arthur Fery

$5 Vol.

50%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$2,338 Vol.

45%

Daniil Medvedev

$694 Vol.

41%

Novak Djokovic

$255 Vol.

37%

Alex de Minaur

$3,173 Vol.

33%

Frances Tiafoe

$91 Vol.

29%

Mariano Navone

$100 Vol.

25%

Andrey Rublev

$91 Vol.

18%

Alejandro Tabilo

$40 Vol.

15%

Jakub Mensik

$80 Vol.

14%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$40 Vol.

14%

Tommy Paul

$168 Vol.

14%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

$40 Vol.

14%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$40 Vol.

13%

Jiri Lehecka

$1,474 Vol.

9%

Casper Ruud

$201 Vol.

9%

Lorenzo Musetti

$148 Vol.

9%

Learner Tien

$120 Vol.

15%

Luciano Darderi

$70 Vol.

6%

Ugo Humbert

$160 Vol.

6%

Joao Fonseca

$96 Vol.

5%

Francisco Cerundolo

$1,211 Vol.

3%

Ignacio Buse

$83 Vol.

13%

Alexander Bublik

$100 Vol.

50%

Brandon Nakashima

$60 Vol.

55%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev have already secured spots in the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals via dominant Race to Turin performances, with Sinner at 7,950 points after multiple Masters 1000 titles and Zverev at 6,650. The remaining berths hinge on results through the Paris Masters cutoff, where traders monitor the tight cluster behind them: Carlos Alcaraz at 3,650, Flavio Cobolli at 3,430 after a Cincinnati semifinal, Arthur Fils at 3,140 following his title run there, Ben Shelton at 3,130, Daniil Medvedev at 2,580, and Frances Tiafoe at 2,530. Recent North American hard-court form, injury recoveries, and upcoming US Open points swings are the main drivers shifting implied probabilities for the top seven plus any eligible Grand Slam winners.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.

If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."

If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,583
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev have already secured spots in the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals via dominant Race to Turin performances, with Sinner at 7,950 points after multiple Masters 1000 titles and Zverev at 6,650. The remaining berths hinge on results through the Paris Masters cutoff, where traders monitor the tight cluster behind them: Carlos Alcaraz at 3,650, Flavio Cobolli at 3,430 after a Cincinnati semifinal, Arthur Fils at 3,140 following his title run there, Ben Shelton at 3,130, Daniil Medvedev at 2,580, and Frances Tiafoe at 2,530. Recent North American hard-court form, injury recoveries, and upcoming US Open points swings are the main drivers shifting implied probabilities for the top seven plus any eligible Grand Slam winners.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.

If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."

If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,583
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Alexander Zverev Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings

Will Alexander Zverev Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings

97%
icon for Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

44%
icon for Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

81%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 37 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Flavio Cobolli" at 89%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 81%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" has generated $17.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify," browse the 37 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" is "Flavio Cobolli" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 81%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.