Opendoor (OPEN) shares have traded in a tight $3.20–$3.80 range following the August 4 Q2 2026 earnings release, positioning the $3.00–$4.00 weekly close bucket as the dominant market-implied outcome at 87.7%. Revenue of $883 million missed consensus while the GAAP net loss widened to $162 million, yet contribution margin expanded 140 basis points to 5.8% and home acquisitions surged 77% sequentially to 4,378. Management’s guidance for at least 20% year-over-year Q3 revenue growth, combined with a 5% share repurchase funded by $650 million of 0% convertible notes, has supported sentiment despite persistent housing-market headwinds from mortgage rates in the mid-6% range. Weekly acquisition contracts recently exceeded 700, reflecting operational leverage under the new CEO, though elevated inventory and housing affordability constraints continue to cap upside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOpendoor (OPEN) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
$3.00-$4.00 92.0%
$2.00-$3.00 10.5%
$4.00-$5.00 10.5%
$1.00-$2.00 10.2%
<$1.00
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
10%
$2.00-$3.00
11%
$3.00-$4.00
87%
$4.00-$5.00
11%
$5.00-$6.00
10%
$6.00-$7.00
10%
$7.00-$8.00
10%
$8.00-$9.00
10%
$9.00-$10
1%
>$10
1%
$3.00-$4.00 92.0%
$2.00-$3.00 10.5%
$4.00-$5.00 10.5%
$1.00-$2.00 10.2%
<$1.00
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
10%
$2.00-$3.00
11%
$3.00-$4.00
87%
$4.00-$5.00
11%
$5.00-$6.00
10%
$6.00-$7.00
10%
$7.00-$8.00
10%
$8.00-$9.00
10%
$9.00-$10
1%
>$10
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Opendoor (OPEN) shares have traded in a tight $3.20–$3.80 range following the August 4 Q2 2026 earnings release, positioning the $3.00–$4.00 weekly close bucket as the dominant market-implied outcome at 87.7%. Revenue of $883 million missed consensus while the GAAP net loss widened to $162 million, yet contribution margin expanded 140 basis points to 5.8% and home acquisitions surged 77% sequentially to 4,378. Management’s guidance for at least 20% year-over-year Q3 revenue growth, combined with a 5% share repurchase funded by $650 million of 0% convertible notes, has supported sentiment despite persistent housing-market headwinds from mortgage rates in the mid-6% range. Weekly acquisition contracts recently exceeded 700, reflecting operational leverage under the new CEO, though elevated inventory and housing affordability constraints continue to cap upside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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