**Abimbola Adekanmbi leads trader pricing at 50.5% for the 2027 Oyo State governorship, followed by APC nominee Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli at 33.5% and PDP’s Hazeem Gbolarumi at 9.2%.** Multiple other aspirants, including minor-party and independent contenders, sit near even-money levels amid broad uncertainty. The contest remains tight because the election is still months away, party primaries and internal reconciliations are unresolved, and Oyo’s multi-party landscape—featuring APM (tied to outgoing Governor Seyi Makinde), APC, PDP, ADC, and Accord—prevents any single candidate from consolidating support. Recent APC disputes over the Alli primary, ongoing national-party reconciliation efforts, and Makinde’s active role in positioning APM candidates have kept probabilities fluid. Further separation could arise from completed party conventions, formal INEC submissions, early polling trends, major endorsements, or shifts in state-level alliances before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAbimbola Adekanmbi 51%
Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli 34%
Yusuf Akim Adebola 3.6%
Hazeem Gbolarumi 1.9%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Abimbola Adekanmbi
51%
Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli
34%
Yusuf Akim Adebola
4%
Hazeem Gbolarumi
2%
Gbemileke Alagbe
<1%
Oriyomi Hamzat
<1%
Taofeek Adegoke
<1%
Abimbola Adekanmbi 51%
Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli 34%
Yusuf Akim Adebola 3.6%
Hazeem Gbolarumi 1.9%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Abimbola Adekanmbi
$2,685 Vol.
51%
Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli
$3,300 Vol.
34%
Yusuf Akim Adebola
$371 Vol.
4%
Hazeem Gbolarumi
$475 Vol.
2%
Gbemileke Alagbe
$378 Vol.
<1%
Oriyomi Hamzat
$398 Vol.
<1%
Taofeek Adegoke
$328 Vol.
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Abimbola Adekanmbi leads trader pricing at 50.5% for the 2027 Oyo State governorship, followed by APC nominee Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli at 33.5% and PDP’s Hazeem Gbolarumi at 9.2%.** Multiple other aspirants, including minor-party and independent contenders, sit near even-money levels amid broad uncertainty. The contest remains tight because the election is still months away, party primaries and internal reconciliations are unresolved, and Oyo’s multi-party landscape—featuring APM (tied to outgoing Governor Seyi Makinde), APC, PDP, ADC, and Accord—prevents any single candidate from consolidating support. Recent APC disputes over the Alli primary, ongoing national-party reconciliation efforts, and Makinde’s active role in positioning APM candidates have kept probabilities fluid. Further separation could arise from completed party conventions, formal INEC submissions, early polling trends, major endorsements, or shifts in state-level alliances before the vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Volume
$7,936End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Abimbola Adekanmbi leads trader pricing at 50.5% for the 2027 Oyo State governorship, followed by APC nominee Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli at 33.5% and PDP’s Hazeem Gbolarumi at 9.2%.** Multiple other aspirants, including minor-party and independent contenders, sit near even-money levels amid broad uncertainty. The contest remains tight because the election is still months away, party primaries and internal reconciliations are unresolved, and Oyo’s multi-party landscape—featuring APM (tied to outgoing Governor Seyi Makinde), APC, PDP, ADC, and Accord—prevents any single candidate from consolidating support. Recent APC disputes over the Alli primary, ongoing national-party reconciliation efforts, and Makinde’s active role in positioning APM candidates have kept probabilities fluid. Further separation could arise from completed party conventions, formal INEC submissions, early polling trends, major endorsements, or shifts in state-level alliances before the vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$7,936End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Abimbola Adekanmbi leads trader pricing at 50.5% for the 2027 Oyo State governorship, followed by APC nominee Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli at 33.5% and PDP’s Hazeem Gbolarumi at 9.2%.** Multiple other aspirants, including minor-party and independent contenders, sit near even-money levels amid broad uncertainty. The contest remains tight because the election is still months away, party primaries and internal reconciliations are unresolved, and Oyo’s multi-party landscape—featuring APM (tied to outgoing Governor Seyi Makinde), APC, PDP, ADC, and Accord—prevents any single candidate from consolidating support. Recent APC disputes over the Alli primary, ongoing national-party reconciliation efforts, and Makinde’s active role in positioning APM candidates have kept probabilities fluid. Further separation could arise from completed party conventions, formal INEC submissions, early polling trends, major endorsements, or shifts in state-level alliances before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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