Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor of Sokoto State, holds an 85.5% market share as traders price in his unanimous party affirmation as the 2027 candidate, backed by a unified structure and political godfather Aliyu Wamakko. Ongoing infrastructure projects, improved state revenues under federal policies, and security investments including armoured vehicles and equipment have reinforced perceptions of administrative delivery ahead of the February 2027 vote. Opposition fragmentation, notably the ADC’s selection of former deputy governor Manir Muhammad Dan Iya at 5.5% after ex-governor Tambuwal’s party switch, has left challengers without consolidated support, keeping their implied probabilities near or below 50%. Late-cycle shifts in alliances or security outcomes could still influence the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAhmed Aliyu 85%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya 7%
Mustapha Shehu 2.4%
Abdulrrahim Chindo <1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Ahmed Aliyu
85%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya
7%
Mustapha Shehu
2%
Abdulrrahim Chindo
<1%
Ahmed Aliyu 85%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya 7%
Mustapha Shehu 2.4%
Abdulrrahim Chindo <1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Ahmed Aliyu
$2,258 Vol.
85%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya
$407 Vol.
7%
Mustapha Shehu
$548 Vol.
2%
Abdulrrahim Chindo
$287 Vol.
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor of Sokoto State, holds an 85.5% market share as traders price in his unanimous party affirmation as the 2027 candidate, backed by a unified structure and political godfather Aliyu Wamakko. Ongoing infrastructure projects, improved state revenues under federal policies, and security investments including armoured vehicles and equipment have reinforced perceptions of administrative delivery ahead of the February 2027 vote. Opposition fragmentation, notably the ADC’s selection of former deputy governor Manir Muhammad Dan Iya at 5.5% after ex-governor Tambuwal’s party switch, has left challengers without consolidated support, keeping their implied probabilities near or below 50%. Late-cycle shifts in alliances or security outcomes could still influence the race.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$3,501End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor of Sokoto State, holds an 85.5% market share as traders price in his unanimous party affirmation as the 2027 candidate, backed by a unified structure and political godfather Aliyu Wamakko. Ongoing infrastructure projects, improved state revenues under federal policies, and security investments including armoured vehicles and equipment have reinforced perceptions of administrative delivery ahead of the February 2027 vote. Opposition fragmentation, notably the ADC’s selection of former deputy governor Manir Muhammad Dan Iya at 5.5% after ex-governor Tambuwal’s party switch, has left challengers without consolidated support, keeping their implied probabilities near or below 50%. Late-cycle shifts in alliances or security outcomes could still influence the race.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$3,501End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor of Sokoto State, holds an 85.5% market share as traders price in his unanimous party affirmation as the 2027 candidate, backed by a unified structure and political godfather Aliyu Wamakko. Ongoing infrastructure projects, improved state revenues under federal policies, and security investments including armoured vehicles and equipment have reinforced perceptions of administrative delivery ahead of the February 2027 vote. Opposition fragmentation, notably the ADC’s selection of former deputy governor Manir Muhammad Dan Iya at 5.5% after ex-governor Tambuwal’s party switch, has left challengers without consolidated support, keeping their implied probabilities near or below 50%. Late-cycle shifts in alliances or security outcomes could still influence the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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