The Bauchi 2027 gubernatorial race remains closely contested, with traders assigning Yakubu Adamu the highest implied probability at 45.5% and Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar at 37.5%. The August 2026 APC primary delivered a clear but not decisive win for Abubakar, who defeated several rivals including Yusuf Tuggar. Incumbent Governor Bala Mohammed’s influence and the recent Allied Peoples Movement sweep in local government elections have bolstered support for state-aligned candidates such as Adamu. Multiple parties have nominated contenders, creating fragmented vote bases across senatorial districts. Key upcoming catalysts include the PDP primary, potential cross-party endorsements, and any shifts in federal-state alignment that could alter candidate positioning before the 2027 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Yakubu Adamu 46%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar 38%
Umar Shehu Buba 4.2%
Mohammed Aliyu 3.6%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Yakubu Adamu
46%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar
38%
Umar Shehu Buba
4%
Mohammed Aliyu
4%
Usman Supi
1%
Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim
<1%
Yakubu Adamu 46%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar 38%
Umar Shehu Buba 4.2%
Mohammed Aliyu 3.6%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Yakubu Adamu
$4,294 Vol.
46%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar
$2,392 Vol.
38%
Umar Shehu Buba
$219 Vol.
4%
Mohammed Aliyu
$148 Vol.
4%
Usman Supi
$148 Vol.
1%
Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim
$111 Vol.
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.The Bauchi 2027 gubernatorial race remains closely contested, with traders assigning Yakubu Adamu the highest implied probability at 45.5% and Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar at 37.5%. The August 2026 APC primary delivered a clear but not decisive win for Abubakar, who defeated several rivals including Yusuf Tuggar. Incumbent Governor Bala Mohammed’s influence and the recent Allied Peoples Movement sweep in local government elections have bolstered support for state-aligned candidates such as Adamu. Multiple parties have nominated contenders, creating fragmented vote bases across senatorial districts. Key upcoming catalysts include the PDP primary, potential cross-party endorsements, and any shifts in federal-state alignment that could alter candidate positioning before the 2027 general election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$7,312End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.The Bauchi 2027 gubernatorial race remains closely contested, with traders assigning Yakubu Adamu the highest implied probability at 45.5% and Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar at 37.5%. The August 2026 APC primary delivered a clear but not decisive win for Abubakar, who defeated several rivals including Yusuf Tuggar. Incumbent Governor Bala Mohammed’s influence and the recent Allied Peoples Movement sweep in local government elections have bolstered support for state-aligned candidates such as Adamu. Multiple parties have nominated contenders, creating fragmented vote bases across senatorial districts. Key upcoming catalysts include the PDP primary, potential cross-party endorsements, and any shifts in federal-state alignment that could alter candidate positioning before the 2027 general election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$7,312End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bauchi 2027 gubernatorial race remains closely contested, with traders assigning Yakubu Adamu the highest implied probability at 45.5% and Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar at 37.5%. The August 2026 APC primary delivered a clear but not decisive win for Abubakar, who defeated several rivals including Yusuf Tuggar. Incumbent Governor Bala Mohammed’s influence and the recent Allied Peoples Movement sweep in local government elections have bolstered support for state-aligned candidates such as Adamu. Multiple parties have nominated contenders, creating fragmented vote bases across senatorial districts. Key upcoming catalysts include the PDP primary, potential cross-party endorsements, and any shifts in federal-state alignment that could alter candidate positioning before the 2027 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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