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Politics·Election

Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

icon for Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine
Politics·Election

Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

Dems sweep 46%

Dems TX & MI, Reps ME 22%

Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 19%

Reps TX & MI, Dems ME 13%

Polymarket
NEW

Dems sweep 46%

Dems TX & MI, Reps ME 22%

Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 19%

Reps TX & MI, Dems ME 13%

Polymarket
NEW

Dems sweep

$43 Vol.

46%

Dems TX & MI, Reps ME

$21 Vol.

22%

Reps TX, Dems MI & ME

$24 Vol.

19%

Reps TX & MI, Dems ME

$45 Vol.

13%

Reps TX & ME, Dems MI

$24 Vol.

12%

Reps sweep

$24 Vol.

12%

Dems TX & ME, Reps MI

$46 Vol.

17%

Dems TX, Reps MI & ME

$44 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Trader consensus shows a tight contest between "Other" outcomes and a Democratic sweep of the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats, priced near 50% and 46% respectively. Competitive polling averages in Michigan and Maine, combined with Texas remaining a Republican-leaning contest, sustain the balance, as small shifts in swing-state turnout or national sentiment can alter multiple seat results. Primary outcomes, candidate positioning on economic and border security issues, and early fundraising reports have reinforced uncertainty ahead of the general election. Scheduled debates and late-cycle polling releases within the resolution window could widen gaps by clarifying paths to victory in the battleground races.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$270
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Trader consensus shows a tight contest between "Other" outcomes and a Democratic sweep of the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats, priced near 50% and 46% respectively. Competitive polling averages in Michigan and Maine, combined with Texas remaining a Republican-leaning contest, sustain the balance, as small shifts in swing-state turnout or national sentiment can alter multiple seat results. Primary outcomes, candidate positioning on economic and border security issues, and early fundraising reports have reinforced uncertainty ahead of the general election. Scheduled debates and late-cycle polling releases within the resolution window could widen gaps by clarifying paths to victory in the battleground races.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$270
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dems sweep" at 46%, followed by "Dems TX & MI, Reps ME" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine" is "Dems sweep" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dems TX & MI, Reps ME" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.