**The Odyssey**, Christopher Nolan’s July 17, 2026 release starring Matt Damon, has already amassed roughly $545 million in domestic gross by late August, placing it on a clear trajectory well above $350 million by August 31. Strong opening weekend ($123.5 million), excellent word-of-mouth (A CinemaScore, 97% audience score), and premium-format appeal—particularly record IMAX 70mm business—have driven exceptional legs of 4.4x with only modest weekend-to-weekend declines. The film has surpassed prior Nolan benchmarks like *The Dark Knight* domestically and *Deadpool & Wolverine* globally as the top R-rated title, reflecting broad adult appeal and sustained theatrical demand through its sixth week. With daily grosses still in the low millions and only days remaining until the August 31 cutoff, the 99.8% market-implied probability for 350m+ reflects overwhelming evidence rather than speculation. An upset below that threshold would require an unprecedented external disruption (such as a sudden, widespread theater shutdown), an outcome with virtually no precedent or current indicators.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31?
"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31?
350m+ 99.8%
300 - 350m <1%
250 - 300m <1%
<200m <1%
$57,823 Vol.
$57,823 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<200m
<1%
200 - 250m
<1%
250 - 300m
<1%
300 - 350m
<1%
350m+
100%
350m+ 99.8%
300 - 350m <1%
250 - 300m <1%
<200m <1%
$57,823 Vol.
$57,823 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<200m
$3,111 Vol.
<1%
200 - 250m
$4,749 Vol.
<1%
250 - 300m
$8,023 Vol.
<1%
300 - 350m
$11,634 Vol.
<1%
350m+
$30,307 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The Odyssey**, Christopher Nolan’s July 17, 2026 release starring Matt Damon, has already amassed roughly $545 million in domestic gross by late August, placing it on a clear trajectory well above $350 million by August 31.
Strong opening weekend ($123.5 million), excellent word-of-mouth (A CinemaScore, 97% audience score), and premium-format appeal—particularly record IMAX 70mm business—have driven exceptional legs of 4.4x with only modest weekend-to-weekend declines. The film has surpassed prior Nolan benchmarks like *The Dark Knight* domestically and *Deadpool & Wolverine* globally as the top R-rated title, reflecting broad adult appeal and sustained theatrical demand through its sixth week. With daily grosses still in the low millions and only days remaining until the August 31 cutoff, the 99.8% market-implied probability for 350m+ reflects overwhelming evidence rather than speculation.
An upset below that threshold would require an unprecedented external disruption (such as a sudden, widespread theater shutdown), an outcome with virtually no precedent or current indicators.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 10:27 PM ET
Volume
$57,823End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The Odyssey**, Christopher Nolan’s July 17, 2026 release starring Matt Damon, has already amassed roughly $545 million in domestic gross by late August, placing it on a clear trajectory well above $350 million by August 31.
Strong opening weekend ($123.5 million), excellent word-of-mouth (A CinemaScore, 97% audience score), and premium-format appeal—particularly record IMAX 70mm business—have driven exceptional legs of 4.4x with only modest weekend-to-weekend declines. The film has surpassed prior Nolan benchmarks like *The Dark Knight* domestically and *Deadpool & Wolverine* globally as the top R-rated title, reflecting broad adult appeal and sustained theatrical demand through its sixth week. With daily grosses still in the low millions and only days remaining until the August 31 cutoff, the 99.8% market-implied probability for 350m+ reflects overwhelming evidence rather than speculation.
An upset below that threshold would require an unprecedented external disruption (such as a sudden, widespread theater shutdown), an outcome with virtually no precedent or current indicators.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$57,823End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Odyssey**, Christopher Nolan’s July 17, 2026 release starring Matt Damon, has already amassed roughly $545 million in domestic gross by late August, placing it on a clear trajectory well above $350 million by August 31. Strong opening weekend ($123.5 million), excellent word-of-mouth (A CinemaScore, 97% audience score), and premium-format appeal—particularly record IMAX 70mm business—have driven exceptional legs of 4.4x with only modest weekend-to-weekend declines. The film has surpassed prior Nolan benchmarks like *The Dark Knight* domestically and *Deadpool & Wolverine* globally as the top R-rated title, reflecting broad adult appeal and sustained theatrical demand through its sixth week. With daily grosses still in the low millions and only days remaining until the August 31 cutoff, the 99.8% market-implied probability for 350m+ reflects overwhelming evidence rather than speculation. An upset below that threshold would require an unprecedented external disruption (such as a sudden, widespread theater shutdown), an outcome with virtually no precedent or current indicators.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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