**Strong theatrical legs and sustained audience demand have driven "The Odyssey" to roughly $540–550 million in domestic gross by late August, positioning the 550–570 million bracket as the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability.** Christopher Nolan’s July 17 release, starring Matt Damon as Odysseus, opened to a robust $123.5 million and has posted solid multipliers thanks to premium-format (especially IMAX 70mm) appeal, an A CinemaScore, and positive word-of-mouth for the R-rated epic. Week-to-week drops have moderated from an initial –27% to low teens or better in recent frames, outpacing typical summer holdovers. With only a handful of days remaining before the August 31 cutoff and daily grosses still in the low millions, the film is on track to add enough revenue to land comfortably inside the 550–570 million range. The market reflects this trajectory rather than any single late-breaking event. Historical Nolan performance, strong ancillary buzz around its box-office milestones (including surpassing prior Nolan domestic records), and a relatively soft late-summer competitive slate have reinforced trader confidence. While an unexpectedly sharp drop-off in the final three days could theoretically keep totals near the lower edge or below, current run rates and theater counts make that outcome highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
550 - 570m 99.3%
570m+ <1%
<490m <1%
490 - 510m <1%
$447,393 Vol.
$447,393 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<490m
<1%
490 - 510m
<1%
510 - 530m
<1%
530 - 550m
<1%
550 - 570m
99%
570m+
1%
550 - 570m 99.3%
570m+ <1%
<490m <1%
490 - 510m <1%
$447,393 Vol.
$447,393 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<490m
$16,699 Vol.
<1%
490 - 510m
$15,965 Vol.
<1%
510 - 530m
$26,012 Vol.
<1%
530 - 550m
$80,010 Vol.
<1%
550 - 570m
$132,456 Vol.
99%
570m+
$176,252 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong theatrical legs and sustained audience demand have driven "The Odyssey" to roughly $540–550 million in domestic gross by late August, positioning the 550–570 million bracket as the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability.**
Christopher Nolan’s July 17 release, starring Matt Damon as Odysseus, opened to a robust $123.5 million and has posted solid multipliers thanks to premium-format (especially IMAX 70mm) appeal, an A CinemaScore, and positive word-of-mouth for the R-rated epic. Week-to-week drops have moderated from an initial –27% to low teens or better in recent frames, outpacing typical summer holdovers. With only a handful of days remaining before the August 31 cutoff and daily grosses still in the low millions, the film is on track to add enough revenue to land comfortably inside the 550–570 million range.
The market reflects this trajectory rather than any single late-breaking event. Historical Nolan performance, strong ancillary buzz around its box-office milestones (including surpassing prior Nolan domestic records), and a relatively soft late-summer competitive slate have reinforced trader confidence. While an unexpectedly sharp drop-off in the final three days could theoretically keep totals near the lower edge or below, current run rates and theater counts make that outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Volume
$447,393End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong theatrical legs and sustained audience demand have driven "The Odyssey" to roughly $540–550 million in domestic gross by late August, positioning the 550–570 million bracket as the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability.**
Christopher Nolan’s July 17 release, starring Matt Damon as Odysseus, opened to a robust $123.5 million and has posted solid multipliers thanks to premium-format (especially IMAX 70mm) appeal, an A CinemaScore, and positive word-of-mouth for the R-rated epic. Week-to-week drops have moderated from an initial –27% to low teens or better in recent frames, outpacing typical summer holdovers. With only a handful of days remaining before the August 31 cutoff and daily grosses still in the low millions, the film is on track to add enough revenue to land comfortably inside the 550–570 million range.
The market reflects this trajectory rather than any single late-breaking event. Historical Nolan performance, strong ancillary buzz around its box-office milestones (including surpassing prior Nolan domestic records), and a relatively soft late-summer competitive slate have reinforced trader confidence. While an unexpectedly sharp drop-off in the final three days could theoretically keep totals near the lower edge or below, current run rates and theater counts make that outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$447,393End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong theatrical legs and sustained audience demand have driven "The Odyssey" to roughly $540–550 million in domestic gross by late August, positioning the 550–570 million bracket as the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability.** Christopher Nolan’s July 17 release, starring Matt Damon as Odysseus, opened to a robust $123.5 million and has posted solid multipliers thanks to premium-format (especially IMAX 70mm) appeal, an A CinemaScore, and positive word-of-mouth for the R-rated epic. Week-to-week drops have moderated from an initial –27% to low teens or better in recent frames, outpacing typical summer holdovers. With only a handful of days remaining before the August 31 cutoff and daily grosses still in the low millions, the film is on track to add enough revenue to land comfortably inside the 550–570 million range. The market reflects this trajectory rather than any single late-breaking event. Historical Nolan performance, strong ancillary buzz around its box-office milestones (including surpassing prior Nolan domestic records), and a relatively soft late-summer competitive slate have reinforced trader confidence. While an unexpectedly sharp drop-off in the final three days could theoretically keep totals near the lower edge or below, current run rates and theater counts make that outcome highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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