Skip to main content
icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)

$10,662 Vol.

Sep 9, 2026
Polymarket

$10,662 Vol.

Polymarket

Taylor Fritz

$80 Vol.

70%

Alexander Zverev

$354 Vol.

67%

Carlos Alcaraz

$3,052 Vol.

48%

Arthur Fils

$171 Vol.

45%

Frances Tiafoe

$0 Vol.

51%

Brandon Nakashima

$0 Vol.

50%

Novak Djokovic

$568 Vol.

26%

Rafael Jodar

$816 Vol.

45%

Alex de Minaur

$0 Vol.

40%

Learner Tien

$0 Vol.

29%

Daniil Medvedev

$21 Vol.

28%

Zizou Bergs

$0 Vol.

28%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$0 Vol.

26%

Valentin Vacherot

$0 Vol.

26%

Francisco Cerundolo

$100 Vol.

26%

Tommy Paul

$0 Vol.

25%

Andrey Rublev

$0 Vol.

25%

Jiri Lehecka

$0 Vol.

25%

Lorenzo Musetti

$71 Vol.

21%

Casper Ruud

$0 Vol.

21%

Darwin Blanch

$0 Vol.

15%

J.J. Wolf

$0 Vol.

15%

Alexander Bublik

$0 Vol.

14%

Arthur Rinderknech

$140 Vol.

14%

Luciano Darderi

$21 Vol.

25%

Alexander Blockx

$0 Vol.

8%

Cameron Norrie

$0 Vol.

8%

Michael Zheng

$21 Vol.

25%

Alejandro Tabilo

$0 Vol.

7%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$21 Vol.

25%

Gael Monfils

$40 Vol.

6%

Dane Sweeny

$0 Vol.

5%

Juncheng Shang

$121 Vol.

5%

Jack Kennedy

$873 Vol.

4%

Filip Misolic

$550 Vol.

4%

Sebastian Gorzny

$816 Vol.

3%

Carlos Taberner

$494 Vol.

1%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$26 Vol.

65%

Flavio Cobolli

$21 Vol.

50%

Ben Shelton

$1,406 Vol.

42%

Jakub Mensik

$21 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The US Open 2026 men's singles draw, released August 27, features Alexander Zverev as the top seed after Jannik Sinner's right-knee withdrawal, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns as the No. 2 seed following a four-month wrist layoff.** Qualifying concluded August 29 with first-time main-draw entrants including Rei Sakamoto and Federico Cina joining established names. Projected quarterfinals by seed include Zverev vs. Alex de Minaur, Félix Auger-Aliassime vs. Flavio Cobolli, Daniil Medvedev vs. Novak Djokovic, and Ben Shelton vs. Alcaraz, shaping paths that favor players with favorable early-round matchups and rest advantages. Recent form, official injury reports, and hard-court results from the summer swing continue to influence trader consensus on advancement probabilities ahead of main-draw action starting August 30.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,662
End Date
Sep 9, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The US Open 2026 men's singles draw, released August 27, features Alexander Zverev as the top seed after Jannik Sinner's right-knee withdrawal, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns as the No. 2 seed following a four-month wrist layoff.** Qualifying concluded August 29 with first-time main-draw entrants including Rei Sakamoto and Federico Cina joining established names. Projected quarterfinals by seed include Zverev vs. Alex de Minaur, Félix Auger-Aliassime vs. Flavio Cobolli, Daniil Medvedev vs. Novak Djokovic, and Ben Shelton vs. Alcaraz, shaping paths that favor players with favorable early-round matchups and rest advantages. Recent form, official injury reports, and hard-court results from the summer swing continue to influence trader consensus on advancement probabilities ahead of main-draw action starting August 30.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,662
End Date
Sep 9, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

68%
icon for Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

54%
icon for Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

37%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Taylor Fritz" at 70%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 67%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)" has generated $10.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)" is "Taylor Fritz" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 67%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.