The 2026 US Open women’s singles main draw begins August 30 at Flushing Meadows on hard courts, with 128 players vying to secure one of 16 spots in the round of 16 after three wins. Defending champion and top seed Aryna Sabalenka enters with a strong New York track record but inconsistent recent results, while No. 4 Coco Gauff arrives with peak momentum after her Cincinnati title and improved serve. No. 2 Elena Rybakina’s leg injury from Cincinnati raises questions about her readiness, and the draw places several top contenders in potentially favorable early sections. American depth, including No. 3 Jessica Pegula, adds home-crowd support, though injuries, form dips, and tough early matchups can quickly alter implied probabilities reflected in trader pricing. Historical patterns show top seeds rarely exit before the round of 16 absent major issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJessica Pegula
76%
Coco Gauff
75%
Aryna Sabalenka
74%
Elina Svitolina
70%
Karolina Muchova
65%
Amanda Anisimova
65%
Marta Kostyuk
65%
Mirra Andreeva
64%
Naomi Osaka
64%
Diana Shnaider
63%
Linda Noskova
46%
Madison Keys
43%
Maria Sakkari
35%
Belinda Bencic
31%
Iva Jovic
31%
Elise Mertens
26%
Emma Navarro
26%
Marie Bouzkova
26%
Barbora Krejcikova
26%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
25%
Jasmine Paolini
35%
Anna Kalinskaya
25%
Anastasia Potapova
25%
Ann Li
25%
Leylah Fernandez
25%
Leolia Jeanjean
25%
Taylah Preston
25%
Sloane Stephens
25%
Thea Frodin
15%
Sara Bejlek
26%
Maja Chwalinska
25%
Carol Young Suh Lee
6%
Reese Brantmeier
6%
Sofia Kenin
25%
Venus Williams
2%
Sorana Cirstea
27%
Alexandra Eala
60%
Jelena Ostapenko
59%
Elena Rybakina
59%
Iga Swiatek
40%
$6,972 Vol.
Jessica Pegula
76%
Coco Gauff
75%
Aryna Sabalenka
74%
Elina Svitolina
70%
Karolina Muchova
65%
Amanda Anisimova
65%
Marta Kostyuk
65%
Mirra Andreeva
64%
Naomi Osaka
64%
Diana Shnaider
63%
Linda Noskova
46%
Madison Keys
43%
Maria Sakkari
35%
Belinda Bencic
31%
Iva Jovic
31%
Elise Mertens
26%
Emma Navarro
26%
Marie Bouzkova
26%
Barbora Krejcikova
26%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
25%
Jasmine Paolini
35%
Anna Kalinskaya
25%
Anastasia Potapova
25%
Ann Li
25%
Leylah Fernandez
25%
Leolia Jeanjean
25%
Taylah Preston
25%
Sloane Stephens
25%
Thea Frodin
15%
Sara Bejlek
26%
Maja Chwalinska
25%
Carol Young Suh Lee
6%
Reese Brantmeier
6%
Sofia Kenin
25%
Venus Williams
2%
Sorana Cirstea
27%
Alexandra Eala
60%
Jelena Ostapenko
59%
Elena Rybakina
59%
Iga Swiatek
40%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 US Open women’s singles main draw begins August 30 at Flushing Meadows on hard courts, with 128 players vying to secure one of 16 spots in the round of 16 after three wins. Defending champion and top seed Aryna Sabalenka enters with a strong New York track record but inconsistent recent results, while No. 4 Coco Gauff arrives with peak momentum after her Cincinnati title and improved serve. No. 2 Elena Rybakina’s leg injury from Cincinnati raises questions about her readiness, and the draw places several top contenders in potentially favorable early sections. American depth, including No. 3 Jessica Pegula, adds home-crowd support, though injuries, form dips, and tough early matchups can quickly alter implied probabilities reflected in trader pricing. Historical patterns show top seeds rarely exit before the round of 16 absent major issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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