Skip to main content
icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)

$14,761 Vol.

Sep 10, 2026
Polymarket

$14,761 Vol.

Polymarket

Alexander Zverev

$80 Vol.

55%

Carlos Alcaraz

$421 Vol.

37%

Novak Djokovic

$0 Vol.

30%

Arthur Fils

$81 Vol.

43%

Taylor Fritz

$0 Vol.

27%

Rafael Jodar

$1,591 Vol.

26%

Jakub Mensik

$0 Vol.

26%

Daniil Medvedev

$100 Vol.

26%

Casper Ruud

$0 Vol.

26%

Tommy Paul

$0 Vol.

26%

Frances Tiafoe

$200 Vol.

25%

Lorenzo Musetti

$0 Vol.

25%

Learner Tien

$0 Vol.

25%

Brandon Nakashima

$0 Vol.

25%

Jiri Lehecka

$0 Vol.

25%

Ben Shelton

$180 Vol.

20%

Alejandro Tabilo

$43 Vol.

20%

Alex de Minaur

$0 Vol.

14%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$514 Vol.

16%

Flavio Cobolli

$0 Vol.

12%

Luciano Darderi

$526 Vol.

5%

Arthur Rinderknech

$0 Vol.

5%

Jack Kennedy

$0 Vol.

5%

Dane Sweeny

$0 Vol.

5%

Filip Misolic

$0 Vol.

5%

Alexander Bublik

$120 Vol.

5%

Cameron Norrie

$0 Vol.

5%

Valentin Vacherot

$21 Vol.

5%

Zizou Bergs

$0 Vol.

5%

Gael Monfils

$543 Vol.

4%

Michael Zheng

$668 Vol.

4%

Carlos Taberner

$108 Vol.

4%

Darwin Blanch

$108 Vol.

4%

Andrey Rublev

$21 Vol.

4%

Juncheng Shang

$0 Vol.

4%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$600 Vol.

3%

Sebastian Gorzny

$580 Vol.

3%

Alexander Blockx

$305 Vol.

3%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$598 Vol.

2%

J.J. Wolf

$180 Vol.

2%

Francisco Cerundolo

$142 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal due to a right knee injury has reshaped the bracket, handing Alexander Zverev the top seed and a comparatively favorable top-half path while placing defending champion Carlos Alcaraz (No. 2) in a stacked bottom half.** Alcaraz returns after a four-month wrist layoff with no recent match play, facing an opener against Roman Safiullin and potential later tests against Ben Shelton or Arthur Fils before a possible semifinal against Novak Djokovic. Zverev benefits from the absence of the world No. 1 and recent hard-court momentum, while Djokovic (seeded No. 4 or 6 in reports) remains a threat on pedigree despite limited 2026 form outside majors. Recent hard-court results from Shelton (back-to-back Canada titles) and Fils (Cincinnati champion) further influence implied probabilities for quarterfinal and semifinal advancement in the wide-open field.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,761
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jannik Sinner’s withdrawal due to a right knee injury has reshaped the bracket, handing Alexander Zverev the top seed and a comparatively favorable top-half path while placing defending champion Carlos Alcaraz (No. 2) in a stacked bottom half.** Alcaraz returns after a four-month wrist layoff with no recent match play, facing an opener against Roman Safiullin and potential later tests against Ben Shelton or Arthur Fils before a possible semifinal against Novak Djokovic. Zverev benefits from the absence of the world No. 1 and recent hard-court momentum, while Djokovic (seeded No. 4 or 6 in reports) remains a threat on pedigree despite limited 2026 form outside majors. Recent hard-court results from Shelton (back-to-back Canada titles) and Fils (Cincinnati champion) further influence implied probabilities for quarterfinal and semifinal advancement in the wide-open field.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,761
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

48%
icon for Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Alexander Zverev advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

67%
icon for Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

49%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 55%, followed by "Francisco Cerundolo" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)" has generated $14.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)" is "Alexander Zverev" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Francisco Cerundolo" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.