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Sports·Tennis

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)
Sports·Tennis

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

$19,612 Vol.

Sep 12, 2026
Polymarket

$19,612 Vol.

Polymarket

Lorenzo Musetti

$1 Vol.

50%

Alejandro Tabilo

$1 Vol.

50%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$101 Vol.

46%

Carlos Alcaraz

$1,491 Vol.

30%

Alexander Zverev

$107 Vol.

45%

Alex de Minaur

$523 Vol.

30%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$0 Vol.

30%

Daniil Medvedev

$5 Vol.

26%

Frances Tiafoe

$0 Vol.

25%

Taylor Fritz

$22 Vol.

25%

Casper Ruud

$936 Vol.

25%

Flavio Cobolli

$21 Vol.

23%

Novak Djokovic

$224 Vol.

22%

Learner Tien

$1 Vol.

18%

Ben Shelton

$30 Vol.

16%

Rafael Jodar

$1,819 Vol.

16%

Arthur Fils

$145 Vol.

12%

Jakub Mensik

$708 Vol.

27%

Brandon Nakashima

$671 Vol.

7%

Alexander Bublik

$42 Vol.

6%

Michael Zheng

$205 Vol.

6%

Luciano Darderi

$1 Vol.

5%

Tommy Paul

$30 Vol.

5%

Valentin Vacherot

$103 Vol.

4%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$228 Vol.

4%

Carlos Taberner

$103 Vol.

4%

Filip Misolic

$123 Vol.

4%

J.J. Wolf

$143 Vol.

4%

Jiri Lehecka

$101 Vol.

3%

Juncheng Shang

$183 Vol.

3%

Darwin Blanch

$268 Vol.

3%

Sebastian Gorzny

$268 Vol.

3%

Andrey Rublev

$236 Vol.

3%

Cameron Norrie

$313 Vol.

2%

Francisco Cerundolo

$335 Vol.

2%

Alexander Blockx

$195 Vol.

2%

Zizou Bergs

$189 Vol.

2%

Jack Kennedy

$1,287 Vol.

2%

Gael Monfils

$263 Vol.

1%

Ugo Humbert

$548 Vol.

1%

Dane Sweeny

$345 Vol.

1%

Arthur Rinderknech

$200 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sinner's withdrawal due to a right knee injury has reshaped the men's singles bracket at the 2026 US Open, removing the world No. 1 and recent Wimbledon champion while elevating Alexander Zverev to the top seed.** Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns as the No. 2 seed after a four-month wrist layoff, bringing title-winning pedigree but limited recent match play ahead of his opener against Roman Safiullin. Zverev enters with strong momentum from his French Open title and Wimbledon final, positioned favorably in the top half. Novak Djokovic, chasing a record 25th major in the bottom half alongside Alcaraz, adds experience but faces questions over preparation and physical condition. American contenders like Ben Shelton, fresh off back-to-back Canada titles, and Taylor Fritz could influence semifinal paths, with the draw favoring established names reaching the final stages. Main-draw action begins August 30.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,612
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sinner's withdrawal due to a right knee injury has reshaped the men's singles bracket at the 2026 US Open, removing the world No. 1 and recent Wimbledon champion while elevating Alexander Zverev to the top seed.** Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns as the No. 2 seed after a four-month wrist layoff, bringing title-winning pedigree but limited recent match play ahead of his opener against Roman Safiullin. Zverev enters with strong momentum from his French Open title and Wimbledon final, positioned favorably in the top half. Novak Djokovic, chasing a record 25th major in the bottom half alongside Alcaraz, adds experience but faces questions over preparation and physical condition. American contenders like Ben Shelton, fresh off back-to-back Canada titles, and Taylor Fritz could influence semifinal paths, with the draw favoring established names reaching the final stages. Main-draw action begins August 30.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,612
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tomas Martin Etcheverry" at 46%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" has generated $19.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" is "Tomas Martin Etcheverry" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.