Gold prices have rallied sharply in August 2026 to around $4,600 per ounce after testing sub-$4,300 levels earlier in the month, with intraday highs near $4,700, supported by the U.S. Treasury’s expanded long-dated bond buybacks that eased yields amid $40 trillion in national debt and renewed focus on currency debasement risks. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, oil prices above $90 per barrel, record central bank purchases (288.9 tonnes in Q2), and a resurgence in global ETF inflows have reinforced safe-haven demand, while a softer U.S. dollar has amplified the move. Traders are watching the upcoming July PCE release and any signals on Federal Reserve policy for further direction, as elevated real yields and potential rate adjustments remain key swing factors in the final days of the month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$828,848 Vol.
↑ $4,700
62%
↓ $4,000
1%
↓ $3,900
1%
↓ $3,800
<1%
↓ $3,700
<1%
↓ $3,600
<1%
↓ $3,500
<1%
↓ $3,400
<1%
$828,848 Vol.
↑ $4,700
62%
↓ $4,000
1%
↓ $3,900
1%
↓ $3,800
<1%
↓ $3,700
<1%
↓ $3,600
<1%
↓ $3,500
<1%
↓ $3,400
<1%
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices have rallied sharply in August 2026 to around $4,600 per ounce after testing sub-$4,300 levels earlier in the month, with intraday highs near $4,700, supported by the U.S. Treasury’s expanded long-dated bond buybacks that eased yields amid $40 trillion in national debt and renewed focus on currency debasement risks. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, oil prices above $90 per barrel, record central bank purchases (288.9 tonnes in Q2), and a resurgence in global ETF inflows have reinforced safe-haven demand, while a softer U.S. dollar has amplified the move. Traders are watching the upcoming July PCE release and any signals on Federal Reserve policy for further direction, as elevated real yields and potential rate adjustments remain key swing factors in the final days of the month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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