Gold trades near $4,450–$4,600 per ounce after an August surge that carried prices to roughly $4,700, driven by Treasury bond-market intervention, renewed ETF inflows, and central-bank purchases. Persistent inflation, with July core PCE at 3.7%, has lifted market-implied odds of a September Fed rate hike to around one-third, supporting higher real yields and a firmer dollar that cap further gains. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks and the September FOMC meeting, alongside upcoming CPI and employment data, remain the dominant near-term catalysts shaping trader positioning in the non-yielding asset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $5,300
8%
↑ $5,200
10%
↑ $5,100
54%
↑ $5,000
50%
↑ $4,900
39%
↑ $4,800
67%
↑ $4,700
59%
↓ $4,600
87%
↓ $4,500
84%
↓ $4,400
74%
↓ $4,300
68%
↓ $4,200
56%
↓ $4,100
16%
↓ $4,000
11%
↓ $3,900
50%
$1,180 Vol.
↑ $5,300
8%
↑ $5,200
10%
↑ $5,100
54%
↑ $5,000
50%
↑ $4,900
39%
↑ $4,800
67%
↑ $4,700
59%
↓ $4,600
87%
↓ $4,500
84%
↓ $4,400
74%
↓ $4,300
68%
↓ $4,200
56%
↓ $4,100
16%
↓ $4,000
11%
↓ $3,900
50%
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold trades near $4,450–$4,600 per ounce after an August surge that carried prices to roughly $4,700, driven by Treasury bond-market intervention, renewed ETF inflows, and central-bank purchases. Persistent inflation, with July core PCE at 3.7%, has lifted market-implied odds of a September Fed rate hike to around one-third, supporting higher real yields and a firmer dollar that cap further gains. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks and the September FOMC meeting, alongside upcoming CPI and employment data, remain the dominant near-term catalysts shaping trader positioning in the non-yielding asset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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