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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Sep 15

Sep 15

Why Did I Get Married Again? 97.8%

Turning Point: Generation 9/11 1.7%

The Whisper Man 1.6%

Those Who Wish Me Dead 1.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Why Did I Get Married Again? 97.8%

Turning Point: Generation 9/11 1.7%

The Whisper Man 1.6%

Those Who Wish Me Dead 1.3%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Why Did I Get Married Again?

Why Did I Get Married Again?

$4,824 Vol.

98%

icon for The Whisper Man

The Whisper Man

$699 Vol.

2%

icon for Turning Point: Generation 9/11

Turning Point: Generation 9/11

$241 Vol.

2%

icon for Those Who Wish Me Dead

Those Who Wish Me Dead

$116 Vol.

1%

icon for Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

$238 Vol.

1%

icon for The Secret Woman

The Secret Woman

$286 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus shows overwhelming support for Why Did I Get Married Again? at 97.8% implied probability, driven by its commanding position atop recent Netflix US charts and strong streaming metrics following its release. Audience engagement with the Tyler Perry sequel, combined with effective promotional timing, has created clear separation from other titles in viewership hours. Market-implied odds align with historical patterns where similar star-driven dramas maintain frontrunner status once they establish early dominance. An upset would require a sharp late-week surge from a competitor through unexpected viral momentum or revised rankings data, though such shifts appear limited given current trajectories.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,403
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus shows overwhelming support for Why Did I Get Married Again? at 97.8% implied probability, driven by its commanding position atop recent Netflix US charts and strong streaming metrics following its release. Audience engagement with the Tyler Perry sequel, combined with effective promotional timing, has created clear separation from other titles in viewership hours. Market-implied odds align with historical patterns where similar star-driven dramas maintain frontrunner status once they establish early dominance. An upset would require a sharp late-week surge from a competitor through unexpected viral momentum or revised rankings data, though such shifts appear limited given current trajectories.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,403
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Why Did I Get Married Again?" at 98%, followed by "The Whisper Man" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Why Did I Get Married Again?" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Whisper Man" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.