**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic in late July and has maintained strong holds, crossing $863 million by late August while claiming the second-highest all-time domestic gross behind only *The Force Awakens*. Its 2.4x legs so far, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s appeal plus positive audience scores, position it for substantial September earnings around Labor Day and beyond. With the market bins clustered tightly from the low $940s to $970 million-plus by September 30, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the exact pace of decline in the back-to-school window, competition from incoming releases, and whether the film sustains enough momentum to push past the higher thresholds or settles in the mid-range. Historical precedents for similar superhero legs and daily tracking data are the key swing factors traders are weighing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
940 - 950m 27%
970m+ 26%
960 - 970m 25%
<940m 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<940m
24%
940 - 950m
27%
950 - 960m
24%
960 - 970m
25%
970m+
26%
940 - 950m 27%
970m+ 26%
960 - 970m 25%
<940m 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<940m
$0 Vol.
24%
940 - 950m
$0 Vol.
27%
950 - 960m
$0 Vol.
24%
960 - 970m
$0 Vol.
25%
970m+
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic in late July and has maintained strong holds, crossing $863 million by late August while claiming the second-highest all-time domestic gross behind only *The Force Awakens*. Its 2.4x legs so far, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s appeal plus positive audience scores, position it for substantial September earnings around Labor Day and beyond. With the market bins clustered tightly from the low $940s to $970 million-plus by September 30, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the exact pace of decline in the back-to-school window, competition from incoming releases, and whether the film sustains enough momentum to push past the higher thresholds or settles in the mid-range. Historical precedents for similar superhero legs and daily tracking data are the key swing factors traders are weighing.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic in late July and has maintained strong holds, crossing $863 million by late August while claiming the second-highest all-time domestic gross behind only *The Force Awakens*. Its 2.4x legs so far, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s appeal plus positive audience scores, position it for substantial September earnings around Labor Day and beyond. With the market bins clustered tightly from the low $940s to $970 million-plus by September 30, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the exact pace of decline in the back-to-school window, competition from incoming releases, and whether the film sustains enough momentum to push past the higher thresholds or settles in the mid-range. Historical precedents for similar superhero legs and daily tracking data are the key swing factors traders are weighing.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic in late July and has maintained strong holds, crossing $863 million by late August while claiming the second-highest all-time domestic gross behind only *The Force Awakens*. Its 2.4x legs so far, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s appeal plus positive audience scores, position it for substantial September earnings around Labor Day and beyond. With the market bins clustered tightly from the low $940s to $970 million-plus by September 30, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the exact pace of decline in the back-to-school window, competition from incoming releases, and whether the film sustains enough momentum to push past the higher thresholds or settles in the mid-range. Historical precedents for similar superhero legs and daily tracking data are the key swing factors traders are weighing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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