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icon for How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

icon for How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

Sep 1

Sep 1

NEW
Sep 1, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

15M+

$0 Vol.

49%

18M+

$0 Vol.

49%

20M+

$0 Vol.

50%

22M+

$0 Vol.

49%

25M+

$0 Vol.

49%

27M+

$0 Vol.

49%

32M+

$0 Vol.

49%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent debuts and second-week surges among original films are shaping expectations for the #1 movie’s weekly views on Netflix. Facing El Chapo opened at the top of the non-English film chart with 18 million views for the week of August 17–23, while English-language leader Don’t Say Good Luck climbed 59% to 12.8 million views in its second frame. These numbers reflect typical patterns where fresh titles draw the strongest initial audiences before tapering, amid competition from established holdovers like The Last House and long-tail performers such as KPop Demon Hunters. Traders monitor Netflix’s Tuesday Top 10 updates, new-release schedules, and any late-week promotional pushes that can lift a title into the lead or boost overall engagement. Historical precedent shows #1 movies rarely sustain peak figures beyond the first two weeks without major external buzz.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

This market will not consider hours viewed.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent debuts and second-week surges among original films are shaping expectations for the #1 movie’s weekly views on Netflix. Facing El Chapo opened at the top of the non-English film chart with 18 million views for the week of August 17–23, while English-language leader Don’t Say Good Luck climbed 59% to 12.8 million views in its second frame. These numbers reflect typical patterns where fresh titles draw the strongest initial audiences before tapering, amid competition from established holdovers like The Last House and long-tail performers such as KPop Demon Hunters. Traders monitor Netflix’s Tuesday Top 10 updates, new-release schedules, and any late-week promotional pushes that can lift a title into the lead or boost overall engagement. Historical precedent shows #1 movies rarely sustain peak figures beyond the first two weeks without major external buzz.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

This market will not consider hours viewed.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20M+" at 51%, followed by "15M+" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" is "20M+" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "15M+" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.