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icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Sep 1

Sep 1

Outer Banks: Season 5 43%

Tires: Season 3 43%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 27%

My Brilliant Career: Season 1 25%

Polymarket
NEW

Outer Banks: Season 5 43%

Tires: Season 3 43%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 27%

My Brilliant Career: Season 1 25%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Outer Banks: Season 5

Outer Banks: Season 5

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Beauty in Black: Season 3

Beauty in Black: Season 3

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for My Brilliant Career: Season 1

My Brilliant Career: Season 1

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Tires: Season 3

Tires: Season 3

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Danny Go!: Season 2

Danny Go!: Season 2

$0 Vol.

24%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Outer Banks Season 5 and Tires Season 3 anchor the tight race for top U.S. Netflix show, each trading near 42% implied probability after strong recent debuts. Outer Banks claimed the English TV lead in its first full week with 80.6 million viewing hours following its August 20 drop as the series’ final season, capitalizing on loyal fan momentum and revenge-driven storylines. Tires Season 3, which premiered August 13, sits just behind in the latest charts while benefiting from Shane Gillis’ rising profile and steady comedy audience retention. Newer entries like Beauty in Black Season 3 landing August 27 and fresh non-English titles add volatility, but the frontrunners’ established viewership and cultural buzz keep trader focus on their week-to-week chart trajectory.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Outer Banks Season 5 and Tires Season 3 anchor the tight race for top U.S. Netflix show, each trading near 42% implied probability after strong recent debuts. Outer Banks claimed the English TV lead in its first full week with 80.6 million viewing hours following its August 20 drop as the series’ final season, capitalizing on loyal fan momentum and revenge-driven storylines. Tires Season 3, which premiered August 13, sits just behind in the latest charts while benefiting from Shane Gillis’ rising profile and steady comedy audience retention. Newer entries like Beauty in Black Season 3 landing August 27 and fresh non-English titles add volatility, but the frontrunners’ established viewership and cultural buzz keep trader focus on their week-to-week chart trajectory.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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icon for Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?

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Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 7 million views this week?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Outer Banks: Season 5" at 43%, followed by "Tires: Season 3" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "Outer Banks: Season 5" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tires: Season 3" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.