**The Uprising**, a Paul Greengrass-directed historical drama starring Andrew Garfield about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, enters theaters this weekend with modest pre-release tracking that positions it for a soft domestic opening. As an R-rated adult-skewing title from Blumhouse and Focus Features, it lacks the broad appeal of summer tentpoles or family fare, driving trader consensus toward the sub-$4.5 million bracket at 57.5% implied probability. Recent Fortnite tie-in trailers have generated some social media visibility ahead of the September 11 release, yet competition and the genre’s typical legs suggest limited upside. The 4.5–5.5 million range sits at 37.5%, while higher brackets reflect lower conviction amid the film’s narrow audience profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office
<4.5m 55%
4.5-5.5m 26%
6.5-7.5m 25%
7.5m+ 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<4.5m
55%
4.5-5.5m
26%
5.5-6.5m
25%
6.5-7.5m
25%
7.5m+
25%
<4.5m 55%
4.5-5.5m 26%
6.5-7.5m 25%
7.5m+ 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<4.5m
$0 Vol.
55%
4.5-5.5m
$0 Vol.
26%
5.5-6.5m
$0 Vol.
25%
6.5-7.5m
$0 Vol.
25%
7.5m+
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The Uprising**, a Paul Greengrass-directed historical drama starring Andrew Garfield about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, enters theaters this weekend with modest pre-release tracking that positions it for a soft domestic opening. As an R-rated adult-skewing title from Blumhouse and Focus Features, it lacks the broad appeal of summer tentpoles or family fare, driving trader consensus toward the sub-$4.5 million bracket at 57.5% implied probability. Recent Fortnite tie-in trailers have generated some social media visibility ahead of the September 11 release, yet competition and the genre’s typical legs suggest limited upside. The 4.5–5.5 million range sits at 37.5%, while higher brackets reflect lower conviction amid the film’s narrow audience profile.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The Uprising**, a Paul Greengrass-directed historical drama starring Andrew Garfield about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, enters theaters this weekend with modest pre-release tracking that positions it for a soft domestic opening. As an R-rated adult-skewing title from Blumhouse and Focus Features, it lacks the broad appeal of summer tentpoles or family fare, driving trader consensus toward the sub-$4.5 million bracket at 57.5% implied probability. Recent Fortnite tie-in trailers have generated some social media visibility ahead of the September 11 release, yet competition and the genre’s typical legs suggest limited upside. The 4.5–5.5 million range sits at 37.5%, while higher brackets reflect lower conviction amid the film’s narrow audience profile.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Uprising**, a Paul Greengrass-directed historical drama starring Andrew Garfield about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, enters theaters this weekend with modest pre-release tracking that positions it for a soft domestic opening. As an R-rated adult-skewing title from Blumhouse and Focus Features, it lacks the broad appeal of summer tentpoles or family fare, driving trader consensus toward the sub-$4.5 million bracket at 57.5% implied probability. Recent Fortnite tie-in trailers have generated some social media visibility ahead of the September 11 release, yet competition and the genre’s typical legs suggest limited upside. The 4.5–5.5 million range sits at 37.5%, while higher brackets reflect lower conviction amid the film’s narrow audience profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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