Maxx Crosby’s recent three-year, $106.5 million extension with the Las Vegas Raiders, signed in March 2025, anchors trader sentiment for him remaining in Las Vegas at 91.3% implied probability. After a near-trade to the Baltimore Ravens collapsed due to a failed physical tied to a knee concern, Crosby publicly reaffirmed his commitment, declaring himself “a Raider” and participating fully in 2026 training camp and preseason. Owner Mark Davis has signaled preference for retention, while the Raiders’ high asking price of multiple first-round picks deters suitors despite lingering interest from teams like the 49ers. His large guaranteed money and dead-cap hit further reduce near-term trade likelihood. A blockbuster offer or unforeseen roster shift could still alter the outcome before the 2026 season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders 92.5%
Philadelphia Eagles 5.2%
Dallas Cowboys 5.0%
Chicago Bears <1%
$6,353,312 Vol.
$6,353,312 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
93%
Philadelphia Eagles
5%
Dallas Cowboys
5%
Chicago Bears
1%
New York Jets
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Cincinnati Bengals
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 92.5%
Philadelphia Eagles 5.2%
Dallas Cowboys 5.0%
Chicago Bears <1%
$6,353,312 Vol.
$6,353,312 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
93%
Philadelphia Eagles
5%
Dallas Cowboys
5%
Chicago Bears
1%
New York Jets
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Cincinnati Bengals
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maxx Crosby’s recent three-year, $106.5 million extension with the Las Vegas Raiders, signed in March 2025, anchors trader sentiment for him remaining in Las Vegas at 91.3% implied probability. After a near-trade to the Baltimore Ravens collapsed due to a failed physical tied to a knee concern, Crosby publicly reaffirmed his commitment, declaring himself “a Raider” and participating fully in 2026 training camp and preseason. Owner Mark Davis has signaled preference for retention, while the Raiders’ high asking price of multiple first-round picks deters suitors despite lingering interest from teams like the 49ers. His large guaranteed money and dead-cap hit further reduce near-term trade likelihood. A blockbuster offer or unforeseen roster shift could still alter the outcome before the 2026 season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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