Skip to main content
icon for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Tom Aspinall 66%

Ciryl Gane 30%

Josh Hokit 4.6%

Alexander Volkov 1.0%

Polymarket

$338,700 Vol.

Tom Aspinall 66%

Ciryl Gane 30%

Josh Hokit 4.6%

Alexander Volkov 1.0%

Polymarket

$338,700 Vol.

Tom Aspinall

$8,866 Vol.

63%

Ciryl Gane

$6,947 Vol.

30%

Josh Hokit

$793 Vol.

5%

Alexander Volkov

$27,652 Vol.

1%

Serghei Spivac

$581 Vol.

1%

Curtis Blaydes

$66,738 Vol.

<1%

Marcin Tybura

$166,830 Vol.

<1%

Sergei Pavlovich

$555 Vol.

<1%

Tyrell Fortune

$395 Vol.

<1%

Jailton Almeida

$521 Vol.

<1%

Rizvan Kuniev

$439 Vol.

<1%

Waldo Cortes Acosta

$48,207 Vol.

<1%

Ante Delija

$584 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Lewis

$9,592 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Tom Aspinall holds the edge in trader consensus as the undisputed UFC heavyweight champion, elevated after Jon Jones' retirement and positioned to retain the belt through year-end given his established dominance and recent confirmation from Dana White that the fighter remains committed and will return once healthy. Ciryl Gane sits second as interim champion following his second-round TKO of Alex Pereira, with the pair's planned unification rematch—after their October 2025 no-contest due to eye pokes—widely viewed as the pivotal late-2026 bout that could shift probabilities. Lower-ranked contenders such as Alexander Volkov and Curtis Blaydes trail due to limited recent title contention momentum and the division's focus on the Aspinall-Gane storyline, while Aspinall's recovery timeline and potential November or December scheduling anchor the current implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$338,700
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Tom Aspinall holds the edge in trader consensus as the undisputed UFC heavyweight champion, elevated after Jon Jones' retirement and positioned to retain the belt through year-end given his established dominance and recent confirmation from Dana White that the fighter remains committed and will return once healthy. Ciryl Gane sits second as interim champion following his second-round TKO of Alex Pereira, with the pair's planned unification rematch—after their October 2025 no-contest due to eye pokes—widely viewed as the pivotal late-2026 bout that could shift probabilities. Lower-ranked contenders such as Alexander Volkov and Curtis Blaydes trail due to limited recent title contention momentum and the division's focus on the Aspinall-Gane storyline, while Aspinall's recovery timeline and potential November or December scheduling anchor the current implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$338,700
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Related

icon for Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

92%
icon for Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

59%
icon for Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?

Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?

53%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Aspinall" at 63%, followed by "Ciryl Gane" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $338.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Tom Aspinall" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ciryl Gane" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.