US Dollar Index (DXY) has traded in a tight 98.5–99.3 range in late August 2026, recently rebounding toward 99.13 amid mixed US data and fiscal developments. Recent softer readings—including August consumer confidence at 89.4, prior negative nonfarm payrolls, and July retail sales weakness—have tempered growth expectations and reduced September Fed hike odds to roughly 40%. July PCE inflation printed slightly hotter than forecast at 3.7% year-over-year, keeping policy uncertainty elevated ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s expansion of long-bond buybacks to at least $4 billion per operation, intended to cap surging 30-year yields above 5%, has instead amplified fiscal concerns tied to debt exceeding $40 trillion and contributed to the dollar’s recent three-month low near 98.5. Geopolitical tensions and Iran-related sanctions provide modest safe-haven support. Traders are focused on upcoming releases such as initial jobless claims and Chicago PMI, plus any signals from Fed communications on the policy reaction function.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ 100.20
50%
↑ 100.00
50%
↑ 99.80
50%
↑ 99.60
50%
↑ 99.40
50%
↓ 99.00
50%
↓ 98.80
50%
↓ 98.60
50%
↓ 98.40
50%
↓ 98.20
50%
↓ 98.00
50%
↓ 97.80
50%
↓ 97.60
48%
$175 Vol.
↑ 100.20
50%
↑ 100.00
50%
↑ 99.80
50%
↑ 99.60
50%
↑ 99.40
50%
↓ 99.00
50%
↓ 98.80
50%
↓ 98.60
50%
↓ 98.40
50%
↓ 98.20
50%
↓ 98.00
50%
↓ 97.80
50%
↓ 97.60
48%
Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule (time zone America/New_York), trading is open continuously from 5:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with no daily settlement break, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Under the standard New York 5:00 PM FX close convention, each trading day begins at 5:00:00 PM ET on the prior calendar day and ends at 5:00:00 PM ET on that calendar day. Under the standard schedule, the week of August 24 2026 consists of the Monday through Friday trading days beginning at 5:00:00 PM ET on the Sunday immediately preceding August 24 2026 and ending at 5:00:00 PM ET on the following Friday.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the US Dollar Index (DXY) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of an index methodology change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the US Dollar Index (DXY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high and low prices published by ICE Futures U.S. for the most actively traded (by open interest) ICE U.S. Dollar Index futures contract (ticker DX) as of the relevant business day may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Official daily high and low prices are the values shown in the "High" and "Low" columns of the ICE Futures U.S. "Futures Daily Market Report for US Dollar Index" for the relevant contract month on each relevant trading day. This report may be accessed by selecting "End of Day Report" under the "Reports" tab of the product page at https://www.ice.com/products/194/US-Dollar-Index-Futures.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXYResolver
0x65070BE91...Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule (time zone America/New_York), trading is open continuously from 5:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with no daily settlement break, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Under the standard New York 5:00 PM FX close convention, each trading day begins at 5:00:00 PM ET on the prior calendar day and ends at 5:00:00 PM ET on that calendar day. Under the standard schedule, the week of August 24 2026 consists of the Monday through Friday trading days beginning at 5:00:00 PM ET on the Sunday immediately preceding August 24 2026 and ending at 5:00:00 PM ET on the following Friday.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the US Dollar Index (DXY) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of an index methodology change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the US Dollar Index (DXY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high and low prices published by ICE Futures U.S. for the most actively traded (by open interest) ICE U.S. Dollar Index futures contract (ticker DX) as of the relevant business day may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Official daily high and low prices are the values shown in the "High" and "Low" columns of the ICE Futures U.S. "Futures Daily Market Report for US Dollar Index" for the relevant contract month on each relevant trading day. This report may be accessed by selecting "End of Day Report" under the "Reports" tab of the product page at https://www.ice.com/products/194/US-Dollar-Index-Futures.
Resolution Source
https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXYResolver
0x65070BE91...US Dollar Index (DXY) has traded in a tight 98.5–99.3 range in late August 2026, recently rebounding toward 99.13 amid mixed US data and fiscal developments. Recent softer readings—including August consumer confidence at 89.4, prior negative nonfarm payrolls, and July retail sales weakness—have tempered growth expectations and reduced September Fed hike odds to roughly 40%. July PCE inflation printed slightly hotter than forecast at 3.7% year-over-year, keeping policy uncertainty elevated ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s expansion of long-bond buybacks to at least $4 billion per operation, intended to cap surging 30-year yields above 5%, has instead amplified fiscal concerns tied to debt exceeding $40 trillion and contributed to the dollar’s recent three-month low near 98.5. Geopolitical tensions and Iran-related sanctions provide modest safe-haven support. Traders are focused on upcoming releases such as initial jobless claims and Chicago PMI, plus any signals from Fed communications on the policy reaction function.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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