Iran's next scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term of President Masoud Pezeshkian, who took office after the 2024 snap vote. Trader consensus assigns low probability to any earlier contest because the constitution triggers a new election only within 50 days of the president's death, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have occurred. Following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the March selection of his successor by the Assembly of Experts, attention has centered on leadership transition and regional security rather than presidential balloting. No official announcements, legislative moves, or credible reports have signaled an early vote or resignation amid ongoing tensions with the United States and Israel. Markets reflect this stability, pricing limited near-term risk of an unscheduled presidential election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Iran hold a presidential election by...?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
$767,372 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
31%
$767,372 Vol.
December 31
$159 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's next scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term of President Masoud Pezeshkian, who took office after the 2024 snap vote. Trader consensus assigns low probability to any earlier contest because the constitution triggers a new election only within 50 days of the president's death, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have occurred. Following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the March selection of his successor by the Assembly of Experts, attention has centered on leadership transition and regional security rather than presidential balloting. No official announcements, legislative moves, or credible reports have signaled an early vote or resignation amid ongoing tensions with the United States and Israel. Markets reflect this stability, pricing limited near-term risk of an unscheduled presidential election.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$767,372End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's next scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term of President Masoud Pezeshkian, who took office after the 2024 snap vote. Trader consensus assigns low probability to any earlier contest because the constitution triggers a new election only within 50 days of the president's death, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have occurred. Following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the March selection of his successor by the Assembly of Experts, attention has centered on leadership transition and regional security rather than presidential balloting. No official announcements, legislative moves, or credible reports have signaled an early vote or resignation amid ongoing tensions with the United States and Israel. Markets reflect this stability, pricing limited near-term risk of an unscheduled presidential election.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$767,372End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's next scheduled presidential election remains set for 2028 under the four-year term of President Masoud Pezeshkian, who took office after the 2024 snap vote. Trader consensus assigns low probability to any earlier contest because the constitution triggers a new election only within 50 days of the president's death, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have occurred. Following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the March selection of his successor by the Assembly of Experts, attention has centered on leadership transition and regional security rather than presidential balloting. No official announcements, legislative moves, or credible reports have signaled an early vote or resignation amid ongoing tensions with the United States and Israel. Markets reflect this stability, pricing limited near-term risk of an unscheduled presidential election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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