NVIDIA’s fiscal second-quarter earnings, released August 26 with $96.2 billion in revenue and $108 billion third-quarter guidance, remain the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of the week of August 31. The report’s confirmation of sustained AI demand, including a 70% fiscal 2028 revenue outlook, triggered an intraday surge above $230 before profit-taking pulled shares back to close near $217.55 on August 28. With the stock trading below its $236.54 52-week high and analyst price targets lifted toward $300-plus, market-implied odds reflect expectations of continued volatility around AI capex trends and supply constraints rather than any near-term fundamental shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $244
49%
↑ $240
49%
↑ $236
8%
↑ $232
16%
↑ $228
31%
↑ $224
54%
↑ $220
82%
↓ $216
80%
↓ $212
51%
↓ $208
28%
↓ $204
14%
↓ $200
6%
↓ $196
50%
↓ $192
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $244
49%
↑ $240
49%
↑ $236
8%
↑ $232
16%
↑ $228
31%
↑ $224
54%
↑ $220
82%
↓ $216
80%
↓ $212
51%
↓ $208
28%
↓ $204
14%
↓ $200
6%
↓ $196
50%
↓ $192
50%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...NVIDIA’s fiscal second-quarter earnings, released August 26 with $96.2 billion in revenue and $108 billion third-quarter guidance, remain the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of the week of August 31. The report’s confirmation of sustained AI demand, including a 70% fiscal 2028 revenue outlook, triggered an intraday surge above $230 before profit-taking pulled shares back to close near $217.55 on August 28. With the stock trading below its $236.54 52-week high and analyst price targets lifted toward $300-plus, market-implied odds reflect expectations of continued volatility around AI capex trends and supply constraints rather than any near-term fundamental shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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