SpaceX shares (SPCX) closed the prior week near $136.97 amid elevated trading volume following the August 20 lockup expiry that freed 319 million shares. Traders are focused on the company’s record launch tempo, including the 100th Falcon 9 mission of 2026 and multiple Starlink deployments from Florida and California that week, alongside the final planned East Coast Falcon Starlink flight before the shift to Starship. Q2 results showed revenue nearly doubling year-over-year to $7.81 billion with adjusted EBITDA at $3.54 billion, while capital spending reached $18.37 billion, largely tied to AI infrastructure. Upcoming catalysts include additional Starlink windows and a Falcon Heavy target around August 30, against a backdrop of divergent analyst price targets ranging from $100 to $248. Market-implied odds reflect ongoing uncertainty around post-IPO float expansion and execution on Starship milestones.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $152.50
8%
↑ $150
14%
↑ $147.50
28%
↑ $145
49%
↑ $142.50
74%
↑ $140
52%
↓ $132.50
39%
↓ $130
11%
↓ $127.50
15%
↓ $125
12%
↓ $122.50
10%
↓ $120
11%
$267 Vol.
↑ $152.50
8%
↑ $150
14%
↑ $147.50
28%
↑ $145
49%
↑ $142.50
74%
↑ $140
52%
↓ $132.50
39%
↓ $130
11%
↓ $127.50
15%
↓ $125
12%
↓ $122.50
10%
↓ $120
11%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX shares (SPCX) closed the prior week near $136.97 amid elevated trading volume following the August 20 lockup expiry that freed 319 million shares. Traders are focused on the company’s record launch tempo, including the 100th Falcon 9 mission of 2026 and multiple Starlink deployments from Florida and California that week, alongside the final planned East Coast Falcon Starlink flight before the shift to Starship. Q2 results showed revenue nearly doubling year-over-year to $7.81 billion with adjusted EBITDA at $3.54 billion, while capital spending reached $18.37 billion, largely tied to AI infrastructure. Upcoming catalysts include additional Starlink windows and a Falcon Heavy target around August 30, against a backdrop of divergent analyst price targets ranging from $100 to $248. Market-implied odds reflect ongoing uncertainty around post-IPO float expansion and execution on Starship milestones.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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