The S&P 500 traded in a 7,638–7,798 range during the week of August 24, closing near 7,676 after pulling back 1.6% from its August 13 record of 7,799 amid elevated 30-year Treasury yields above 5% and sector rotation out of AI-exposed names. Geopolitical developments, including expanded U.S. sanctions on Iran and 50% tariffs on select Canadian imports following collapsed trade talks, added volatility while year-to-date gains held at roughly 12%. Traders are now focused on Nvidia’s results, second-quarter GDP revisions, PCE inflation data, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks for signals on monetary policy amid fiscal and inflation concerns. Market-implied odds reflect these crosscurrents between resilient equity breadth and near-term macro risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$28,727 Vol.
↑ $800
1%
↑ $795
1%
↑ $790
3%
↑ $785
6%
↑ $780
18%
↑ $775
52%
↑ $770
70%
↓ $760
17%
↓ $755
7%
↓ $750
2%
↓ $745
7%
↓ $740
6%
↓ $735
5%
$28,727 Vol.
↑ $800
1%
↑ $795
1%
↑ $790
3%
↑ $785
6%
↑ $780
18%
↑ $775
52%
↑ $770
70%
↓ $760
17%
↓ $755
7%
↓ $750
2%
↓ $745
7%
↓ $740
6%
↓ $735
5%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 traded in a 7,638–7,798 range during the week of August 24, closing near 7,676 after pulling back 1.6% from its August 13 record of 7,799 amid elevated 30-year Treasury yields above 5% and sector rotation out of AI-exposed names. Geopolitical developments, including expanded U.S. sanctions on Iran and 50% tariffs on select Canadian imports following collapsed trade talks, added volatility while year-to-date gains held at roughly 12%. Traders are now focused on Nvidia’s results, second-quarter GDP revisions, PCE inflation data, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks for signals on monetary policy amid fiscal and inflation concerns. Market-implied odds reflect these crosscurrents between resilient equity breadth and near-term macro risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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