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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace 100.0%

TikTok Pro - Events <1%

ChatGPT <1%

ParentSquare <1%

Polymarket

$4,005 Vol.

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace 100.0%

TikTok Pro - Events <1%

ChatGPT <1%

ParentSquare <1%

Polymarket

$4,005 Vol.

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$388 Vol.

No

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$189 Vol.

No

icon for ParentSquare

ParentSquare

$563 Vol.

No

icon for Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

$2,232 Vol.

Yes

icon for Threads

Threads

$264 Vol.

No

icon for 7 Brew Coffee

7 Brew Coffee

$370 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Vinted's dominant 100% market-implied odds reflect its sustained #2 overall free app ranking in the US App Store on August 28, driven by rapid US expansion, top position in the shopping category, and strong user adoption of its peer-to-peer pre-loved marketplace model. Recent iOS updates improving performance and bug fixes, combined with promotions like free shipping, have boosted engagement and downloads amid growing demand for sustainable secondhand fashion and accessories. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, views these factors as creating durable momentum unlikely to shift quickly. Potential challenges include a sudden surge from competitors like Depop or Temu, Apple algorithm adjustments favoring new releases, or renewed scrutiny from past platform issues, though historical patterns suggest Vinted's scale provides resilience heading into early September.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$4,005
End Date
Aug 29, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Vinted's dominant 100% market-implied odds reflect its sustained #2 overall free app ranking in the US App Store on August 28, driven by rapid US expansion, top position in the shopping category, and strong user adoption of its peer-to-peer pre-loved marketplace model. Recent iOS updates improving performance and bug fixes, combined with promotions like free shipping, have boosted engagement and downloads amid growing demand for sustainable secondhand fashion and accessories. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, views these factors as creating durable momentum unlikely to shift quickly. Potential challenges include a sudden surge from competitors like Depop or Temu, Apple algorithm adjustments favoring new releases, or renewed scrutiny from past platform issues, though historical patterns suggest Vinted's scale provides resilience heading into early September.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$4,005
End Date
Aug 29, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace" at 100%, followed by "TikTok Pro - Events" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?" is "Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "TikTok Pro - Events" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.