Modest preview earnings of $725,000 across 2,350 theaters for the R-rated historical thriller have anchored trader consensus around a 7-8 million opening weekend. Mixed critical reception, with scores hovering near 58 percent on Rotten Tomatoes, has tempered expectations for stronger word-of-mouth or premium-audience turnout during the low-traffic Labor Day frame. The $29 million production, directed by Elegance Bratton and starring Mark Wahlberg and Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, faces heavy competition from holdovers like Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Comparable titles with similar preview levels ultimately landed in the low-to-mid seven figures, aligning with the market-implied odds while leaving limited upside absent a surprise audience surge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office
"By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office
7-8m 74%
8m+ 13.9%
6-7m 12%
5-6m 3.4%
$30,530 Vol.
$30,530 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<4m
<1%
4-5m
1%
5-6m
3%
6-7m
12%
7-8m
74%
8m+
14%
7-8m 74%
8m+ 13.9%
6-7m 12%
5-6m 3.4%
$30,530 Vol.
$30,530 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<4m
$1,005 Vol.
<1%
4-5m
$4,950 Vol.
1%
5-6m
$7,335 Vol.
3%
6-7m
$7,834 Vol.
12%
7-8m
$2,884 Vol.
74%
8m+
$6,521 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to how much "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Modest preview earnings of $725,000 across 2,350 theaters for the R-rated historical thriller have anchored trader consensus around a 7-8 million opening weekend. Mixed critical reception, with scores hovering near 58 percent on Rotten Tomatoes, has tempered expectations for stronger word-of-mouth or premium-audience turnout during the low-traffic Labor Day frame. The $29 million production, directed by Elegance Bratton and starring Mark Wahlberg and Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, faces heavy competition from holdovers like Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Comparable titles with similar preview levels ultimately landed in the low-to-mid seven figures, aligning with the market-implied odds while leaving limited upside absent a surprise audience surge.
This market will resolve according to how much "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$30,530End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Modest preview earnings of $725,000 across 2,350 theaters for the R-rated historical thriller have anchored trader consensus around a 7-8 million opening weekend. Mixed critical reception, with scores hovering near 58 percent on Rotten Tomatoes, has tempered expectations for stronger word-of-mouth or premium-audience turnout during the low-traffic Labor Day frame. The $29 million production, directed by Elegance Bratton and starring Mark Wahlberg and Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, faces heavy competition from holdovers like Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Comparable titles with similar preview levels ultimately landed in the low-to-mid seven figures, aligning with the market-implied odds while leaving limited upside absent a surprise audience surge.
This market will resolve according to how much "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$30,530End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Modest preview earnings of $725,000 across 2,350 theaters for the R-rated historical thriller have anchored trader consensus around a 7-8 million opening weekend. Mixed critical reception, with scores hovering near 58 percent on Rotten Tomatoes, has tempered expectations for stronger word-of-mouth or premium-audience turnout during the low-traffic Labor Day frame. The $29 million production, directed by Elegance Bratton and starring Mark Wahlberg and Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, faces heavy competition from holdovers like Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Comparable titles with similar preview levels ultimately landed in the low-to-mid seven figures, aligning with the market-implied odds while leaving limited upside absent a surprise audience surge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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