Traders view the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet ranges as the clearest contenders for Elon Musk’s output from September 12-14, with the near-even split underscoring how sensitive the total remains to daily engagement patterns on X. Musk’s posting volume typically rises with Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory news, or direct user interactions, yet it can stay restrained during focused operational stretches or lower-profile weekends. Recent activity shows occasional spikes tied to product milestones or public statements, but no major catalysts appear locked in for this window that would reliably push totals higher. The competitive pricing reflects trader caution around these variables, where even modest increases in replies or commentary could tip the count across the 40 threshold while a quieter stretch would favor the lower bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<40 49%
40-64 45%
65-89 6%
90-114 1.1%
$132,028 Vol.
$132,028 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
<40
49%
40-64
45%
65-89
6%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
<40 49%
40-64 45%
65-89 6%
90-114 1.1%
$132,028 Vol.
$132,028 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
<40
$30,848 Vol.
49%
40-64
$15,357 Vol.
45%
65-89
$22,412 Vol.
6%
90-114
$29,148 Vol.
1%
115-139
$20,564 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$5,826 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$2,318 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,650 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$1,059 Vol.
<1%
240+
$845 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet ranges as the clearest contenders for Elon Musk’s output from September 12-14, with the near-even split underscoring how sensitive the total remains to daily engagement patterns on X. Musk’s posting volume typically rises with Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory news, or direct user interactions, yet it can stay restrained during focused operational stretches or lower-profile weekends. Recent activity shows occasional spikes tied to product milestones or public statements, but no major catalysts appear locked in for this window that would reliably push totals higher. The competitive pricing reflects trader caution around these variables, where even modest increases in replies or commentary could tip the count across the 40 threshold while a quieter stretch would favor the lower bracket.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$132,028End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet ranges as the clearest contenders for Elon Musk’s output from September 12-14, with the near-even split underscoring how sensitive the total remains to daily engagement patterns on X. Musk’s posting volume typically rises with Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory news, or direct user interactions, yet it can stay restrained during focused operational stretches or lower-profile weekends. Recent activity shows occasional spikes tied to product milestones or public statements, but no major catalysts appear locked in for this window that would reliably push totals higher. The competitive pricing reflects trader caution around these variables, where even modest increases in replies or commentary could tip the count across the 40 threshold while a quieter stretch would favor the lower bracket.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$132,028End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet ranges as the clearest contenders for Elon Musk’s output from September 12-14, with the near-even split underscoring how sensitive the total remains to daily engagement patterns on X. Musk’s posting volume typically rises with Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory news, or direct user interactions, yet it can stay restrained during focused operational stretches or lower-profile weekends. Recent activity shows occasional spikes tied to product milestones or public statements, but no major catalysts appear locked in for this window that would reliably push totals higher. The competitive pricing reflects trader caution around these variables, where even modest increases in replies or commentary could tip the count across the 40 threshold while a quieter stretch would favor the lower bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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