Recent Eurozone GDP data and institutional forecasts position the 0.8-1.1% quarterly growth range as the market consensus for Q3 2026. Q2 expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding expectations after Q1 revisions tied to Irish multinational distortions, yet annual 2026 projections from the ECB, IMF, and OECD hover at 0.8-0.9% amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions. These pressures have lifted HICP inflation toward 3% while curbing consumption and exports, with ECB policy rates held steady at the July meeting. German H1 resilience and fiscal support provide some offset, but transport disruptions and subdued sentiment suggest only modest Q3 momentum, consistent with trader-implied odds favoring subdued rather than accelerated expansion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.8-1.1% 63%
0.4-0.7% 21%
1.2-1.5% 8.1%
1.6-1.9% 5.3%
$49,257 Vol.
$49,257 Vol.
Oct 30, 2026
<0.0%
<1%
0.0-0.3%
5%
0.4-0.7%
21%
0.8-1.1%
63%
1.2-1.5%
8%
1.6-1.9%
5%
2.0%+
4%
0.8-1.1% 63%
0.4-0.7% 21%
1.2-1.5% 8.1%
1.6-1.9% 5.3%
$49,257 Vol.
$49,257 Vol.
Oct 30, 2026
<0.0%
$1,156 Vol.
<1%
0.0-0.3%
$979 Vol.
5%
0.4-0.7%
$9,085 Vol.
21%
0.8-1.1%
$34,605 Vol.
63%
1.2-1.5%
$1,529 Vol.
8%
1.6-1.9%
$1,074 Vol.
5%
2.0%+
$828 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurozone GDP data and institutional forecasts position the 0.8-1.1% quarterly growth range as the market consensus for Q3 2026. Q2 expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding expectations after Q1 revisions tied to Irish multinational distortions, yet annual 2026 projections from the ECB, IMF, and OECD hover at 0.8-0.9% amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions. These pressures have lifted HICP inflation toward 3% while curbing consumption and exports, with ECB policy rates held steady at the July meeting. German H1 resilience and fiscal support provide some offset, but transport disruptions and subdued sentiment suggest only modest Q3 momentum, consistent with trader-implied odds favoring subdued rather than accelerated expansion.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$49,257End Date
Oct 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurozone GDP data and institutional forecasts position the 0.8-1.1% quarterly growth range as the market consensus for Q3 2026. Q2 expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding expectations after Q1 revisions tied to Irish multinational distortions, yet annual 2026 projections from the ECB, IMF, and OECD hover at 0.8-0.9% amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions. These pressures have lifted HICP inflation toward 3% while curbing consumption and exports, with ECB policy rates held steady at the July meeting. German H1 resilience and fiscal support provide some offset, but transport disruptions and subdued sentiment suggest only modest Q3 momentum, consistent with trader-implied odds favoring subdued rather than accelerated expansion.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,257End Date
Oct 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Eurozone GDP data and institutional forecasts position the 0.8-1.1% quarterly growth range as the market consensus for Q3 2026. Q2 expanded 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding expectations after Q1 revisions tied to Irish multinational distortions, yet annual 2026 projections from the ECB, IMF, and OECD hover at 0.8-0.9% amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions. These pressures have lifted HICP inflation toward 3% while curbing consumption and exports, with ECB policy rates held steady at the July meeting. German H1 resilience and fiscal support provide some offset, but transport disruptions and subdued sentiment suggest only modest Q3 momentum, consistent with trader-implied odds favoring subdued rather than accelerated expansion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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