Traders price "No" at 100% because the 2026 Dutch Grand Prix at Zandvoort unfolded under predominantly dry conditions after an early shower, with the track drying rapidly under partly cloudy skies and steady northwest winds. The initial damp patches prompted only a formation-lap safety car and a red flag for Max Verstappen’s lap-one crash at the banked final corner, after which racing resumed cleanly without further full safety-car interventions. Only Virtual Safety Cars appeared later for isolated debris from minor contacts, reflecting limited on-track chaos, strong car reliability under the new 2026 regulations, and the circuit’s tendency for quick clearance in non-wet scenarios. While sudden heavy rain, a multi-car incident, or mechanical failures could still trigger a deployment, the race’s progression aligned with the consensus that such events would remain absent.