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Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Practice 2 Fastest Lap

icon for Italian Grand Prix: Practice 2 Fastest Lap
Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Practice 2 Fastest Lap

Kimi Antonelli 48%

Esteban Ocon 47%

Oscar Piastri 46%

Valtteri Bottas 45%

Polymarket
NEW

Kimi Antonelli 48%

Esteban Ocon 47%

Oscar Piastri 46%

Valtteri Bottas 45%

Polymarket
NEW

Kimi Antonelli

$0 Vol.

48%

Esteban Ocon

$0 Vol.

47%

Oscar Piastri

$0 Vol.

46%

Valtteri Bottas

$58 Vol.

45%

Sergio Perez

$58 Vol.

45%

Pierre Gasly

$0 Vol.

45%

Lewis Hamilton

$0 Vol.

45%

Max Verstappen

$0 Vol.

44%

George Russell

$0 Vol.

44%

Isack Hadjar

$0 Vol.

44%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$0 Vol.

44%

Lando Norris

$0 Vol.

44%

Franco Colapinto

$0 Vol.

44%

Charles Leclerc

$0 Vol.

43%

Oliver Bearman

$0 Vol.

43%

Liam Lawson

$0 Vol.

42%

Fernando Alonso

$25 Vol.

26%

Nico Hulkenberg

$0 Vol.

26%

Arvid Lindblad

$0 Vol.

26%

Alexander Albon

$7 Vol.

25%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$7 Vol.

25%

Lance Stroll

$32 Vol.

25%

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 4, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 11, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 2 as published by the FIA. If Practice 2 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.**The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 40–41% for drivers including Franco Colapinto, Pierre Gasly, Gabriel Bortoleto, Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Kimi Antonelli, Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton, Oscar Piastri, and George Russell reflect Monza’s high-speed layout and FP2’s mixed running programs.** Teams often split efforts between qualifying simulations on soft compounds and longer stints, making single-lap pace highly session-dependent rather than a pure reflection of overall car strength. Recent Dutch GP form showed McLaren and Mercedes near the front, while Ferrari benefits from home-track momentum and straight-line speed advantages suited to the Temple of Speed. Multiple squads remain competitive in high-speed sectors, with no dominant edge emerging from upgrades or recent results, leaving the fastest FP2 lap open to several contenders depending on exact timing, tire warm-up, and track evolution. Lower odds for midfield and backmarker names align with their typical deficit in outright pace.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 4, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 11, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 2 as published by the FIA. If Practice 2 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$186
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 4, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 11, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 2 as published by the FIA. If Practice 2 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 4, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 11, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 2 as published by the FIA. If Practice 2 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.**The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 40–41% for drivers including Franco Colapinto, Pierre Gasly, Gabriel Bortoleto, Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Kimi Antonelli, Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton, Oscar Piastri, and George Russell reflect Monza’s high-speed layout and FP2’s mixed running programs.** Teams often split efforts between qualifying simulations on soft compounds and longer stints, making single-lap pace highly session-dependent rather than a pure reflection of overall car strength. Recent Dutch GP form showed McLaren and Mercedes near the front, while Ferrari benefits from home-track momentum and straight-line speed advantages suited to the Temple of Speed. Multiple squads remain competitive in high-speed sectors, with no dominant edge emerging from upgrades or recent results, leaving the fastest FP2 lap open to several contenders depending on exact timing, tire warm-up, and track evolution. Lower odds for midfield and backmarker names align with their typical deficit in outright pace.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 4, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 11, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 2 as published by the FIA. If Practice 2 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$186
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 4, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 11, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 2 as published by the FIA. If Practice 2 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Italian Grand Prix: Practice 2 Fastest Lap" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 48%, followed by "Esteban Ocon" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Italian Grand Prix: Practice 2 Fastest Lap" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Italian Grand Prix: Practice 2 Fastest Lap," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Italian Grand Prix: Practice 2 Fastest Lap" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Esteban Ocon" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Italian Grand Prix: Practice 2 Fastest Lap" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.