**H200 GPU rental prices reflect a fragmented market shaped by neocloud spot/on-demand rates versus hyperscaler premiums, with current verified on-demand listings spanning roughly $2.60–$10.60 per GPU-hour and medians clustered near $4.00–$4.50.** Recent August 2026 data show stable-to-slightly softening median rates amid modest supply additions, including limited China shipments that have not yet materially eased Western availability. Key swing factors include sustained demand for the H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory in large-model inference workloads, the pace of Blackwell B200/B300 ramp-up that could displace Hopper capacity, seasonal AI training cycles, and provider mix shifts between low-cost marketplaces and committed hyperscaler tiers. The wide probability distribution across sub-$4 and $4–$5.50 brackets captures uncertainty over whether incremental supply or persistent inference demand will dominate by end-September, with traders weighting near-term capacity releases and benchmark inference demand as primary catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$4.00 31%
$4.50-$5.00 22%
$4.00-$4.50 18%
$5.00-$5.50 12%
$23,794 Vol.
$23,794 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$4.00
31%
$4.00-$4.50
18%
$4.50-$5.00
22%
$5.00-$5.50
12%
$5.50-$6.00
9%
$6.00+
9%
<$4.00 31%
$4.50-$5.00 22%
$4.00-$4.50 18%
$5.00-$5.50 12%
$23,794 Vol.
$23,794 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$4.00
$10,316 Vol.
31%
$4.00-$4.50
$2,033 Vol.
18%
$4.50-$5.00
$3,889 Vol.
22%
$5.00-$5.50
$2,623 Vol.
12%
$5.50-$6.00
$2,099 Vol.
9%
$6.00+
$2,833 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**H200 GPU rental prices reflect a fragmented market shaped by neocloud spot/on-demand rates versus hyperscaler premiums, with current verified on-demand listings spanning roughly $2.60–$10.60 per GPU-hour and medians clustered near $4.00–$4.50.**
Recent August 2026 data show stable-to-slightly softening median rates amid modest supply additions, including limited China shipments that have not yet materially eased Western availability. Key swing factors include sustained demand for the H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory in large-model inference workloads, the pace of Blackwell B200/B300 ramp-up that could displace Hopper capacity, seasonal AI training cycles, and provider mix shifts between low-cost marketplaces and committed hyperscaler tiers. The wide probability distribution across sub-$4 and $4–$5.50 brackets captures uncertainty over whether incremental supply or persistent inference demand will dominate by end-September, with traders weighting near-term capacity releases and benchmark inference demand as primary catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
Volume
$23,794End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**H200 GPU rental prices reflect a fragmented market shaped by neocloud spot/on-demand rates versus hyperscaler premiums, with current verified on-demand listings spanning roughly $2.60–$10.60 per GPU-hour and medians clustered near $4.00–$4.50.**
Recent August 2026 data show stable-to-slightly softening median rates amid modest supply additions, including limited China shipments that have not yet materially eased Western availability. Key swing factors include sustained demand for the H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory in large-model inference workloads, the pace of Blackwell B200/B300 ramp-up that could displace Hopper capacity, seasonal AI training cycles, and provider mix shifts between low-cost marketplaces and committed hyperscaler tiers. The wide probability distribution across sub-$4 and $4–$5.50 brackets captures uncertainty over whether incremental supply or persistent inference demand will dominate by end-September, with traders weighting near-term capacity releases and benchmark inference demand as primary catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$23,794End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...**H200 GPU rental prices reflect a fragmented market shaped by neocloud spot/on-demand rates versus hyperscaler premiums, with current verified on-demand listings spanning roughly $2.60–$10.60 per GPU-hour and medians clustered near $4.00–$4.50.** Recent August 2026 data show stable-to-slightly softening median rates amid modest supply additions, including limited China shipments that have not yet materially eased Western availability. Key swing factors include sustained demand for the H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory in large-model inference workloads, the pace of Blackwell B200/B300 ramp-up that could displace Hopper capacity, seasonal AI training cycles, and provider mix shifts between low-cost marketplaces and committed hyperscaler tiers. The wide probability distribution across sub-$4 and $4–$5.50 brackets captures uncertainty over whether incremental supply or persistent inference demand will dominate by end-September, with traders weighting near-term capacity releases and benchmark inference demand as primary catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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